Same criteria I used last year: If I had to pick a player for one season only to win a title this year. So just because I have a guy ranked ahead of another guy doesn't mean I think he'll be the MVP or whatever. Like, right now, It's James Harden by a wide margin, but he won't be number 1 for me.
1. LeBron James
2. Kawhi Leonard
3. James Harden
4. Giannis Antetokuompo
5. Steph Curry
6. Kevin Durant
7. Russell Westbrook
8. Anthony Davis
9. DeMarcus Cousins
10. Joel Embiid
11. Nikola Jokic
12. Kristaps Porzingis
13. Kyrie Irving
14. Karl Anthony Towns
15. John Wall
16. Draymond Green
17. Damian Lillard
18. Paul George
19. Kevin Love
20. Ben Simmons
Injuries matter. Gordon Hayward is a top 15 player to me. Jimmy Butler will find his way back on this list by the end of the year, I feel. Right now Wiggins is just taking too many shots away from both he and Towns. They need to fix that problem.
Trying not to be a homer with Love. He's currently ranked 21st in PER, and when you take out the low minute guys like Willie Reed, David West, and a couple of others, he's higher, so I don't think including him is being homerish. Think a decent case can be made he's been better than Draymond this year, but again, this is a list of who I'd take for one year only if I were trying to win a title. And I'm taking Draymond over Kevin 10 times outta 10 with those parameters.
I like this reasoning, and I'll go one further and add the caveat that it matters how easy it is to build around you. With that in mind...
1. LeBron
2. Kawhi
3. KD
4. Harden
5. Russell
6. Giannis
7. Curry
8. AD
9. Porzingis
10. Chris Paul
11. Paul George
12. Jimmy Butler
13. John Wall
14. Joel Embiid
15. DeMarcus Cousins
16. Nikola Jokic
17. Kyrie Irving
18. Draymond Green
19. Blake Griffin
20. Karl-Anthony Towns
The first six are probably the easiest guys to build around in the league. LeBron, KD and Kawhi are all guys that can defend multiple positions at high levels, create their own shots, and create for others. Harden, Russ and Giannis can do two of those three things.
Once you get past those six, it gets a little dicey. Steph can't defend multiple positions at a high level, but he can control an offense with the best of them. AD and Porzingis may not have the shot creation chops of Steph, but they both have defensive ability he doesn't.
CP3 can't defend multiple positions, but he can get his own shot, create for others and defend his position. That lack of positional versatility, however, is what puts him behind the others. PG and Jimmy Butler have the ability to score, and they can defend multiple positions, but they aren't guys that can control the game the way Paul can.
Wall has focus issues on the defensive end, but he's a point guard maestro.
Then you get the run of bigs. Embiid, Cousins, Jokic... take your pick. I like Embiid just a tad more than the other two because of his defensive ability, and Cousins gets the nod on Jokic because of his scoring prowess.
Kyrie is a tough one to peg, still. He's great at getting his own, but he's not the creator for others that those in front of him are. He's also a little tougher to build around because you need to surround him with plus defenders at almost every position.
Draymond gets hurt because he isn't a guy you can give the ball to and say "get me a bucket." He's a GREAT cog in the system, but he can't be the system. However, his defensive ability puts him just ahead of Blake, who I think you CAN make the system. When he's not surrounded by dogshit guards and wings, he can still get you wins.
Finally, KAT. I really think there's a case to be made for four or five players to be in front of him (IT, Hayward, Love, Millsap... all have health concerns. Lillard, Kemba and Lowry come to mind). I'm very low on his defense and he's not a guy who creates for others. It's possible I'd rank Simmons ahead of him by the end of the year.