2017 NBA Playoff Odds & Betting Thread

[shoes22]

Well that was a shitty night last night. Rondo is indefinitely out, fucking up that series. And Blake Griffin is out for the Clippers, fucking up that series. OKC-HOU went as expected though.

In any case, I consider most of the projections below inaccurate, because even with the injuries it's pulling too much from the previous games in the series. I will adjust for that in time for the second round, but here's how things stand for now:

Boston Celtics (1) vs. Chicago Bulls (8)
Celtics in 4: 0.0%
Celtics in 5: 0.0%
Celtics in 6: 10.05% (+7.82%)
Celtics in 7: 20.15% (+12.62%)
Bulls in 7: 15.21% (+8.26%)
Bulls in 6: 29.65% (+10.45%)
Bulls in 5: 24.94% (+3.1%)
Bulls in 4: 0.0% (-42.25%)

Game 4 Odds:
Celtics win 42%/Bulls Win 58%

Odds Boston forces a Game 6: 75.06% (+39.15%)
Odds series goes 7 games: 35.36% (+20.88%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 3.10 (+1.02)

Overall Odds:
Celtics win series: 30.2% likely (+20.44%)
Bulls win series: 69.8% likely (-20.44%)


Houston Rockets (3) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (6)
Rockets in 4: 0.0% (-24.01%)
Rockets in 5: 35.52% (-1.96%)
Rockets in 6: 24.46% (+8.78%)
Rockets in 7: 24.41% (+9.78%)
Thunder in 7: 8.58% (+3.7%)
Thunder in 6: 7.03% (+3.71%)
Thunder in 5: 0.0%
Thunder in 4: 0.0%

Game 4 Odds:
Rockets win 48%/Thunder Win 52%

Odds Oklahoma City forces a Game 6: 64.48% (+25.97%)
Odds series goes 7 games: 32.99% (+13.48%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 2.97 (+0.63)

Overall Odds:
Rockets win series: 84.39% likely (-7.41%)
Thunder win series: 15.61% likely (+7.41%)


Los Angeles Clippers (4) vs. Utah Jazz (5)
Clippers in 4: 0.0%
Clippers in 5: 20.65% (+11.97%)
Clippers in 6: 18.45% (+5.8%)
Clippers in 7: 25.71% (+0.35%)
Jazz in 7: 17.87% (+5.38%)
Jazz in 6: 17.32% (-9.98%)
Jazz in 5: 0.0% (-13.52%)
Jazz in 4: 0.0%

Game 4 Odds:
Clippers win 35%/Jazz Win 65%

Odds Utah forces a Game 6: 79.35% (+1.55%)
Odds series goes 7 games: 43.58% (+5.73%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 3.23 (+0.07)

Overall Odds:
Clippers win series: 64.81% likely (+18.12%)
Jazz win series: 35.19% likely (-18.12%)

 

[shoes22]

Losing streak for my model continues
Although the only one that looks really bad is the Spurs-Grizz. The one game last night my model did nail was Warriors-Blazers.

Speaking of Warriors-Blazers, in the entire 3+ years I've been doing this, my model has never had a higher series win probability for a team than in that series right now. So that's...something. :\

Toronto Raptors (3) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (6)
Raptors in 4: 0.0%
Raptors in 5: 0.0%
Raptors in 6: 24.08% (+15.44%)
Raptors in 7: 28.47% (+10.5%)
Bucks in 7: 22.37% (+7.06%)
Bucks in 6: 25.08% (-5.4%)
Bucks in 5: 0.0% (-27.6%)
Bucks in 4: 0.0%

Game 5 Odds:
Raptors win 56%/Bucks Win 44%

Odds series goes 7 games: 50.84% (+17.56%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 3.51 (+0.45)

Overall Odds:
Raptors win series: 52.55% likely (+25.94%)
Bucks win series: 47.45% likely (-25.94%)


Washington Wizards (4) vs. Atlanta Hawks (5)
Wizards in 4: 0.0% (-29.16%)
Wizards in 5: 39% (+0.25%)
Wizards in 6: 25.48% (+10.67%)
Wizards in 7: 22.32% (+10.52%)
Hawks in 7: 7.44% (+4.11%)
Hawks in 6: 5.76% (+3.61%)
Hawks in 5: 0.0%
Hawks in 4: 0.0%

Game 4 Odds:
Wizards win 52%/Hawks Win 48%

Odds Atlanta forces a Game 6: 61% (+28.91%)
Odds series goes 7 games: 29.76% (+14.63%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 2.91 (+0.73)

Overall Odds:
Wizards win series: 86.8% likely (-7.72%)
Hawks win series: 13.2% likely (+7.72%)


San Antonio Spurs (2) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (7)
Spurs in 4: 0.0%
Spurs in 5: 0.0% (-49.8%)
Spurs in 6: 45.36% (+19.32%)
Spurs in 7: 37.49% (+19.69%)
Grizzlies in 7: 8.79% (+5.15%)
Grizzlies in 6: 8.36% (+5.64%)
Grizzlies in 5: 0.0%
Grizzlies in 4: 0.0%

Game 5 Odds:
Spurs win 81%/Grizzlies Win 19%

Odds series goes 7 games: 46.28% (+24.84%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 3.46 (+0.74)

Overall Odds:
Spurs win series: 82.85% likely (-10.79%)
Grizzlies win series: 17.15% likely (+10.79%)


Golden State Warriors (1) vs. Portland Trailblazers (8)
Warriors in 4: 71% (+22%)
Warriors in 5: 25.52% (-11.02%)
Warriors in 6: 2.47% (-6.83%)
Warriors in 7: 0.89% (-3.29%)
Trailblazers in 7: 0.12% (-0.51%)
Trailblazers in 6: 0.0% (-0.35%)
Trailblazers in 5: 0.0%
Trailblazers in 4: 0.0%

Odds Portland forces a Game 5: 29% (-22%)
Odds Portland forces a Game 6: 3.48% (-10.98%)
Odds Portland forces a Game 7: 1.01% (-7.42%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 1.33 (-0.37)

Overall Odds:
Warriors win series: 99.88% likely (+0.86%)
Trailblazers win series: 0.12% likely (-0.86%)

 

[shoes22]

Alright, slowly improving. 3/4 in games last night, the lone outlier being the damn Celtics-Bulls series!


Houston Rockets (3) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (6)
Rockets in 4: 0.0%
Rockets in 5: 75% (+39.48%)
Rockets in 6: 12.5% (-11.96%)
Rockets in 7: 9.38% (-15.03%)
Thunder in 7: 3.12% (-5.46%)
Thunder in 6: 0.0% (-7.03%)
Thunder in 5: 0.0%
Thunder in 4: 0.0%

Odds Oklahoma City forces a Game 6: 25% (-39.48%)
Odds Oklahoma City forces a Game 7: 12.5% (-20.49%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 2.37 (-0.60)

Overall Odds:
Rockets win series: 96.88% likely (+12.49%)
Thunder win series: 3.12% likely (-12.49%)


Boston Celtics (1) vs. Chicago Bulls (8)
Celtics in 4: 0.0%
Celtics in 5: 0.0%
Celtics in 6: 24.3% (+14.25%)
Celtics in 7: 27.22% (+7.07%)
Bulls in 7: 23.18% (+7.97%)
Bulls in 6: 25.3% (-4.35%)
Bulls in 5: 0.0% (-24.94%)
Bulls in 4: 0.0%

Game 5 Odds:
Celtics win 54%/Bulls Win 46%

Odds series goes 7 games: 50.4% (+15.04%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 3.50 (+0.40)

Overall Odds:
Celtics win series: 51.52% likely (+21.32%)
Bulls win series: 48.48% likely (-21.32%)


Los Angeles Clippers (4) vs. Utah Jazz (5)
Clippers in 4: 0.0%
Clippers in 5: 0.0% (-20.65%)
Clippers in 6: 19.72% (+1.27%)
Clippers in 7: 30.48% (+4.77%)
Jazz in 7: 22.08% (+4.21%)
Jazz in 6: 27.72% (+10.4%)
Jazz in 5: 0.0%
Jazz in 4: 0.0%

Game 5 Odds:
Clippers win 58%/Jazz Win 42%

Odds series goes 7 games: 52.56% (+8.98%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 3.53 (+0.30)

Overall Odds:
Clippers win series: 50.2% likely (-14.61%)
Jazz win series: 49.8% likely (+14.61%)

 

[shoes22]

Another 2/3 night for me last night with the Wizards underperforming.

Toronto Raptors (3) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (6)
Raptors in 4: 0.0%
Raptors in 5: 0.0%
Raptors in 6: 47% (+22.92%)
Raptors in 7: 33.39% (+4.92%)
Bucks in 7: 19.61% (-2.76%)
Bucks in 6: 0.0% (-25.08%)
Bucks in 5: 0.0%
Bucks in 4: 0.0%

Odds Milwaukee forces a Game 7: 53% (+2.16%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 3.53 (+0.02)

Overall Odds:
Raptors win series: 80.39% likely (+27.84%)
Bucks win series: 19.61% likely (-27.84%)

Washington Wizards (4) vs. Atlanta Hawks (5)
Wizards in 4: 0.0%
Wizards in 5: 0.0% (-39%)
Wizards in 6: 34.56% (+9.08%)
Wizards in 7: 36.63% (+14.31%)
Hawks in 7: 14.25% (+6.81%)
Hawks in 6: 14.56% (+8.8%)
Hawks in 5: 0.0%
Hawks in 4: 0.0%

Game 5 Odds:
Wizards win 72%/Hawks Win 28%

Odds series goes 7 games: 50.88% (+21.12%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 3.51 (+0.6)

Overall Odds:
Wizards win series: 71.19% likely (-15.61%)
Hawks win series: 28.81% likely (+15.61%)

 

[shoes22]

Pretty good night last night!

San Antonio Spurs (2) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (7)
Spurs in 4: 0.0%
Spurs in 5: 0.0%
Spurs in 6: 64% (+18.64%)
Spurs in 7: 29.52% (-7.97%)
Grizzlies in 7: 6.48% (-2.31%)
Grizzlies in 6: 0.0% (-8.36%)
Grizzlies in 5: 0.0%
Grizzlies in 4: 0.0%

Odds Memphis forces a Game 7: 36% (-10.28%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 3.36 (-0.10)

Overall Odds:
Spurs win series: 93.52% likely (+10.67%)
Grizzlies win series: 6.48% likely (-10.67%)

Los Angeles Clippers (4) vs. Utah Jazz (5)
Clippers in 4: 0.0%
Clippers in 5: 0.0%
Clippers in 6: 0.0% (-19.72%)
Clippers in 7: 18.15% (-12.33%)
Jazz in 7: 14.85% (-7.23%)
Jazz in 6: 67% (+39.28%)
Jazz in 5: 0.0%
Jazz in 4: 0.0%

Odds Los Angeles forces a Game 7: 33% (-19.56%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 3.33 (-0.20)

Overall Odds:
Clippers win series: 18.15% likely (-32.05%)
Jazz win series: 81.85% likely (+32.05%)

 

[shoes22]

Model was 2/2 last night!

Washington Wizards (4) vs. Atlanta Hawks (5)
Wizards in 4: 0.0%
Wizards in 5: 0.0%
Wizards in 6: 47% (+12.44%)
Wizards in 7: 38.69% (+2.06%)
Hawks in 7: 14.31% (+0.06%)
Hawks in 6: 0.0% (-14.56%)
Hawks in 5: 0.0%
Hawks in 4: 0.0%

Odds Atlanta forces a Game 7: 53% (+2.12%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 3.53 (+0.02)

Overall Odds:
Wizards win series: 85.69% likely (+14.5%)
Hawks win series: 14.31% likely (-14.5%)

Boston Celtics (1) vs. Chicago Bulls (8)
Celtics in 4: 0.0%
Celtics in 5: 0.0%
Celtics in 6: 41% (+16.7%)
Celtics in 7: 31.27% (+4.05%)
Bulls in 7: 27.73% (+4.55%)
Bulls in 6: 0.0% (-25.3%)
Bulls in 5: 0.0%
Bulls in 4: 0.0%

Odds Chicago forces a Game 7: 59% (+8.6%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 3.59 (+0.09)

Overall Odds:
Celtics win series: 72.27% likely (+20.75%)
Bulls win series: 27.73% likely (-20.75%)

 

[shoes22]

Final series of the first round! Jazz have an ever so slight edge, but it's really too close to call.

Los Angeles Clippers (4) vs. Utah Jazz (5)
Clippers in 4: 0.0%
Clippers in 5: 0.0%
Clippers in 6: 0.0%
Clippers in 7: 48% (+29.85%)
Jazz in 7: 52% (+37.15%)
Jazz in 6: 0.0% (-67%)
Jazz in 5: 0.0%
Jazz in 4: 0.0%

Overall Odds:
Clippers win series: 48% likely (+29.85%)
Jazz win series: 52% likely (-29.85%)

 

[Jordan]

Final series of the first round! Jazz have an ever so slight edge, but it's really too close to call.

Los Angeles Clippers (4) vs. Utah Jazz (5)
Clippers in 4: 0.0%
Clippers in 5: 0.0%
Clippers in 6: 0.0%
Clippers in 7: 48% (+29.85%)
Jazz in 7: 52% (+37.15%)
Jazz in 6: 0.0% (-67%)
Jazz in 5: 0.0%
Jazz in 4: 0.0%

Overall Odds:
Clippers win series: 48% likely (+29.85%)
Jazz win series: 52% likely (-29.85%)

Do you have a margin of error in your model?

 

[shoes22]

Do you have a margin of error in your model?

Great question. So to be clear what's happening here, because these series are only being played once and not an infinite amount of times, a statistical margin of error cannot be derived where that number would mean anything significant. Because my model is sticking to the realm of the theoretical and predicting one-time future events, instead what it's actually measuring is a confidence level for individual games. Because at the end of the day, all we care about are wins and losses. So the higher the win probability is for a game, the less likely my model thinks an upset will be, and the less frequently an upset should occur. I regularly go through an exhaustive process that calibrates my model with past game data, so these percentages can be as accurate as possible.

Here are your odds for Celtics-Wiz:

Boston Celtics (1) vs. Washington Wizards (4)
Celtics in 4: 3.15%
Celtics in 5: 8.44%
Celtics in 6: 9.8%
Celtics in 7: 14.1%
Wizards in 7: 15.28%
Wizards in 6: 21.64%
Wizards in 5: 16.86%
Wizards in 4: 10.73%

Game 1 Odds:
Celtics win 48%/Wizards Win 52%

Odds series goes at least 5 games: 86.12%
Odds series goes at least 6 games: 60.82%
Odds series goes 7 games: 29.38%
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 2.76

Overall Odds:
Celtics win series: 35.49% likely
Wizards win series: 64.51% likely

 

[Jordan]

Great question. So to be clear what's happening here, because these series are only being played once and not an infinite amount of times, a statistical margin of error cannot be derived where that number would mean anything significant. Because my model is sticking to the realm of the theoretical and predicting one-time future events, instead what it's actually measuring is a confidence level for individual games. Because at the end of the day, all we care about are wins and losses. So the higher the win probability is for a game, the less likely my model thinks an upset will be, and the less frequently an upset should occur. I regularly go through an exhaustive process that calibrates my model with past game data, so these percentages can be as accurate as possible.

Here are your odds for Celtics-Wiz:

Boston Celtics (1) vs. Washington Wizards (4)
Celtics in 4: 3.15%
Celtics in 5: 8.44%
Celtics in 6: 9.8%
Celtics in 7: 14.1%
Wizards in 7: 15.28%
Wizards in 6: 21.64%
Wizards in 5: 16.86%
Wizards in 4: 10.73%

Game 1 Odds:
Celtics win 48%/Wizards Win 52%

Odds series goes at least 5 games: 86.12%
Odds series goes at least 6 games: 60.82%
Odds series goes 7 games: 29.38%
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 2.76

Overall Odds:
Celtics win series: 35.49% likely
Wizards win series: 64.51% likely

Got it. Yeah, the bolded is what I was curious about. My follow-up would've been how'd you get the margin of error, haha.

Thanks for this stuff, though. It's as good as anything else available on the internet. Great work!

 

[shoes22]

Second round odds for the two series starting today!

Cleveland Cavaliers (2) vs. Toronto Raptors (3)
Cavs in 4: 16.84%
Cavs in 5: 29.89%
Cavs in 6: 18.24%
Cavs in 7: 18.26%
Raptors in 7: 5.77%
Raptors in 6: 7.24%
Raptors in 5: 2.54%
Raptors in 4: 1.22%

Game 1 Odds:
Cavs win 76%/Raptors Win 24%

Odds series goes at least 5 games: 81.94%
Odds series goes at least 6 games: 49.51%
Odds series goes 7 games: 24.03%
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 2.55

Overall Odds:
Cavs win series: 83.23% likely
Raptors win series: 16.77% likely

San Antonio Spurs (2) vs. Houston Rockets (3)
Spurs in 4: 6.33%
Spurs in 5: 18.71%
Spurs in 6: 13.33%
Spurs in 7: 22.43%
Rockets in 7: 10.56%
Rockets in 6: 17.52%
Rockets in 5: 7.06%
Rockets in 4: 4.06%

Game 1 Odds:
Spurs win 68%/Rockets Win 32%

Odds series goes at least 5 games: 89.61%
Odds series goes at least 6 games: 63.84%
Odds series goes 7 games: 32.99%
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 2.86

Overall Odds:
Spurs win series: 60.8% likely
Rockets win series: 39.2% likely

 

[shoes22]

Games tonight!

Boston Celtics (1) vs. Washington Wizards (4)
Celtics in 4: 8.16% (+5.01%)
Celtics in 5: 16.48% (+8.04%)
Celtics in 6: 14.88% (+5.08%)
Celtics in 7: 17.4% (+3.3%)
Wizards in 7: 16.72% (+1.44%)
Wizards in 6: 17.71% (-3.93%)
Wizards in 5: 8.65% (-8.21%)
Wizards in 4: 0.0% (-10.73%)

Game 2 Odds:
Celtics win 51%/Wizards Win 49%

Odds Washington forces a Game 5: 91.84% (+5.72%)
Odds series goes at least 6 games: 66.71% (+5.89%)
Odds series goes 7 games: 34.12% (+4.74%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 2.93 (+0.17)

Overall Odds:
Celtics win series: 56.92% likely (+21.43%)
Wizards win series: 43.08% likely (-21.43%)

Golden State Warriors (1) vs. Utah Jazz (5)
Warriors in 4: 21.53%
Warriors in 5: 33.56%
Warriors in 6: 17.96%
Warriors in 7: 15.84%
Jazz in 7: 3.96%
Jazz in 6: 4.92%
Jazz in 5: 1.52%
Jazz in 4: 0.71%

Game 1 Odds:
Warriors win 80%/Jazz Win 20%

Odds series goes at least 5 games: 77.76%
Odds series goes at least 6 games: 42.68%
Odds series goes 7 games: 19.8%
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 2.40

Overall Odds:
Warriors win series: 88.89% likely
Jazz win series: 11.11% likely

 

[shoes22]

2 for 2 last night! But first, here are the odds for the two series going tonight. I'll be up to date with next-day odds later in the week.

Cleveland Cavaliers (2) vs. Toronto Raptors (3)
Cavs in 4: 22.45% (+5.61%)
Cavs in 5: 34.62% (+4.73%)
Cavs in 6: 17.11% (-1.13%)
Cavs in 7: 15.43% (-2.83%)
Raptors in 7: 4.61% (-1.16%)
Raptors in 6: 4.66% (-2.58%)
Raptors in 5: 1.12% (-1.42%)
Raptors in 4: 0.0% (-1.22%)

Game 2 Odds:
Cavs win 77%/Raptors Win 23%

Odds Toronto forces a Game 5: 77.55% (-4.39%)
Odds series goes at least 6 games: 41.81% (-7.7%)
Odds series goes 7 games: 20.04% (-3.99%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 2.39 (-0.16)

Overall Odds:
Cavs win series: 89.61% likely (+6.38%)
Raptors win series: 10.39% likely (-6.38%)

San Antonio Spurs (2) vs. Houston Rockets (3)
Spurs in 4: 0.0% (-6.33%)
Spurs in 5: 4.36% (-14.35%)
Spurs in 6: 7.85% (-5.48%)
Spurs in 7: 16.14% (-6.29%)
Rockets in 7: 11.69% (+1.13%)
Rockets in 6: 24.65% (+7.13%)
Rockets in 5: 18.11% (+11.05%)
Rockets in 4: 17.2% (+13.14%)

Game 2 Odds:
Spurs win 58%/Rockets Win 42%

Odds San Antonio forces a Game 5: 82.8% (-6.81%)
Odds series goes at least 6 games: 60.33% (-3.51%)
Odds series goes 7 games: 27.83% (-5.16%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 2.71 (-0.15)

Overall Odds:
Spurs win series: 28.35% likely (-32.45%)
Rockets win series: 71.65% likely (+32.45%)

 

[shoes22]

Another perfect night last night! But that was too easy. Here's how the top half of the bracket looks.

Boston Celtics (1) vs. Washington Wizards (4)
Celtics in 4: 14.44% (+6.28%)
Celtics in 5: 25.44% (+8.96%)
Celtics in 6: 16.12% (+1.24%)
Celtics in 7: 17.83% (+0.43%)
Wizards in 7: 15.19% (-1.53%)
Wizards in 6: 10.98% (-6.73%)
Wizards in 5: 0.0% (-8.65%)
Wizards in 4: 0.0%

Game 3 Odds:
Celtics win 38%/Wizards Win 62%

Odds Washington forces a Game 5: 85.56% (-6.28%)
Odds Washington forces a Game 6: 60.12% (-6.59%)
Odds series goes 7 games: 33.02% (-1.1%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 2.79 (-0.14)

Overall Odds:
Celtics win series: 73.83% likely (+16.91%)
Wizards win series: 26.17% likely (-16.91%)

Golden State Warriors (1) vs. Utah Jazz (5)
Warriors in 4: 28.55% (+7.02%)
Warriors in 5: 37.67% (+4.11%)
Warriors in 6: 15.76% (-2.2%)
Warriors in 7: 12.14% (-3.7%)
Jazz in 7: 2.66% (-1.3%)
Jazz in 6: 2.68% (-2.24%)
Jazz in 5: 0.54% (-0.98%)
Jazz in 4: 0.0% (-0.71%)

Game 2 Odds:
Warriors win 82%/Jazz Win 18%

Odds Utah forces a Game 5: 71.45% (-6.31%)
Odds series goes at least 6 games: 33.24% (-9.44%)
Odds series goes 7 games: 14.8% (-5%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 2.19 (-0.21)

Overall Odds:
Warriors win series: 94.12% likely (+5.23%)
Jazz win series: 5.88% likely (-5.23%)

 

[shoes22]

We're on a roll now! Today's games:

Cleveland Cavaliers (2) vs. Toronto Raptors (3)
Cavs in 4: 31.36% (+8.91%)
Cavs in 5: 38.93% (+4.31%)
Cavs in 6: 14.36% (-2.75%)
Cavs in 7: 10.71% (-4.72%)
Raptors in 7: 2.85% (-1.76%)
Raptors in 6: 1.79% (-2.87%)
Raptors in 5: 0.0% (-1.12%)
Raptors in 4: 0.0%

Game 3 Odds:
Cavs win 56%/Raptors Win 44%

Odds Toronto forces a Game 5: 68.64% (-8.91%)
Odds Toronto forces a Game 6: 29.71% (-12.1%)
Odds series goes 7 games: 13.56% (-6.48%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 2.12 (-0.27)

Overall Odds:
Cavs win series: 95.36% likely (+5.75%)
Raptors win series: 4.64% likely (-5.75%)

San Antonio Spurs (2) vs. Houston Rockets (3)
Spurs in 4: 0.0%
Spurs in 5: 7.65% (+3.29%)
Spurs in 6: 11.7% (+3.85%)
Spurs in 7: 21.42% (+5.28%)
Rockets in 7: 14.88% (+3.19%)
Rockets in 6: 27.56% (+2.91%)
Rockets in 5: 16.79% (-1.32%)
Rockets in 4: 0.0% (-17.2%)

Game 3 Odds:
Spurs win 36%/Rockets Win 64%

Odds series goes at least 6 games: 75.56% (+15.23%)
Odds series goes 7 games: 36.3% (+8.47%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 3.12 (+0.41)

Overall Odds:
Spurs win series: 40.77% likely (+12.42%)
Rockets win series: 59.23% likely (-12.42%)