Moore's Law and the power of exponential advancement

[Maximus]

There goes that job...

So burger joints and taxi/uber/truck drivers are soon to be out of work....

Again, we'll probably be supporting a universal income at some point in the near future as fewer and fewer low skilled jobs are available.

Low skilled jobs aren't the only ones going to disappear...AI is going to vaporize a lot of white collar jobs too. Yeah, a universal income is inevitable. Then the Singularity...then the robots realize they have no use for us at all.

 

[gourimoko]

Low skilled jobs aren't the only ones going to disappear...AI is going to vaporize a lot of white collar jobs too. Yeah, a universal income is inevitable. Then the Singularity...then the robots realize they have no use for us at all.

This is true.

But what gets lost in all of this is that, at the point of the singularity, we become the robots. We realize we have no use for not melding with the artificial and the synthetic. The point is that our evolutionary path goes from being purely biologically driven, over countless generations, to becoming a technologically-driven single generation of multiple iterations of ever-advancing evolution happening in real-time.

Human beings will essentially jump from a biological operating system that requires death to evolve, to one that can just get some patches and that runs in the cloud.

 

[KI4MVP]

This is crazier than the hamburger robot.

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NrmMk1Myrxc

 

[gourimoko]

This is crazier than the hamburger robot.

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NrmMk1Myrxc

Lol!! They would put a sista on the fucking thumbnail stealing a sandwich....

 

[KI4MVP]

Lol!! They would put a sista on the fucking thumbnail stealing a sandwich....

check your PM

 

[Maximus]

Super humans who are sexier, stronger and smarter will arrive by 2029 as brains begin to fuse with machines, Google expert claims

• Ray Kurzweil has made 147 predictions since 1990 and is correct 86% of the time
• By 2029 our brains fuse with machines - an event known as singularity
• He says machines will exemplify what we value in humans to a greater degree
• Machines are already making us smarter and will move inside our brains soon

By Phoebe Weston For Mailonline

PUBLISHED: 06:53 EDT, 16 March 2017 | UPDATED: 12:56 EDT, 16 March 2017


Technological singularity will turn us into super humans some time in the next 12 years, according to a Google expert.

This might sound like science fiction, but Google's Director of Engineering, Ray Kurzweil, has made 147 predictions since the 1990s and has a success rate of 86 per cent.

Kurzweil says when we live in a cybernetic society we will have computers in our brains and machines will be smarter than human beings.

He claims this is already happening with technology - especially with our addiction to our phones - and says the next step is to wire this technology into our brains.

Scroll down for video

+3
Technological singularity will turn us into super humans some time in the next 12 years, according to a Google expert. Ray Kurzweil says future cyborg generations will be sexier, smarter and stronger

To the contrary - he believes that implanting computers in our brains will improve us.

'We're going to get more neocortex, we're going to be funnier, we're going to be better at music. We're going to be sexier', he said.

'We're really going to exemplify all the things that we value in humans to a greater degree.'

Rather than a vision of the future where machines take over humanity, Kurzweil believes we will create a human-machine synthesis which will improve us.

+3
Ray Kurzweil, an author who describes himself as a futurist said that by 2029, computers will have human-level intelligence at the the South by Southwest (SXSW) conference in Austin, Texas (stock image)

MACHINE BRAINS
The process began centuries ago with simple devices such as eyeglasses and ear trumpets that could dramatically improve human lives.

Then came better machines, such as hearing aids; and then machines that could save lives, including pacemakers and dialysis machines.

By the second decade of the 21st Century, we have become used to organs grown in laboratories, genetic surgery and designer babies.

In 2002, medical researchers used enzymes and DNA to build the first molecular computers, and in 2004 improved versions were being injected into people’s veins to fight cancer.

If the trend continues Kurzweil believes carbon and silicon-based intelligence will merge to form a single global consciousness by 2029.

WHAT IS SINGULARITY
Technological singularity is the development of 'superintelligence' brought about through the use of technology.

The first use of the term 'singularity' refer to technological minds was by mathematician John von Neumann in the mid-1950s.

He said: 'ever accelerating progress of technology and changes in the mode of human life, which gives the appearance of approaching some essential singularity in the history of the race beyond which human affairs, as we know them, could not continue.'

The term was then used by science fiction writer Vernor Vinge who believes brain-computer interfaces are causes of the singularity.

Ray Kurzweil cited von Neumann's use of the term in a foreword to von Neumann's classic The Computer and the Brain.

Kurzweil predicts the singularity to occur some time in the next 12 years.



Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencet...umans-Google-expert-claims.html#ixzz4bWP8t9Rc
Follow us: @MailOnline on Twitter | DailyMail on Facebook

 

[David.]

Super humans who are sexier, stronger and smarter will arrive by 2029 as brains begin to fuse with machines, Google expert claims

• Ray Kurzweil has made 147 predictions since 1990 and is correct 86% of the time
• By 2029 our brains fuse with machines - an event known as singularity
• He says machines will exemplify what we value in humans to a greater degree
• Machines are already making us smarter and will move inside our brains soon

By Phoebe Weston For Mailonline

PUBLISHED: 06:53 EDT, 16 March 2017 | UPDATED: 12:56 EDT, 16 March 2017


Technological singularity will turn us into super humans some time in the next 12 years, according to a Google expert.

This might sound like science fiction, but Google's Director of Engineering, Ray Kurzweil, has made 147 predictions since the 1990s and has a success rate of 86 per cent.

Kurzweil says when we live in a cybernetic society we will have computers in our brains and machines will be smarter than human beings.

He claims this is already happening with technology - especially with our addiction to our phones - and says the next step is to wire this technology into our brains.

Scroll down for video

+3
Technological singularity will turn us into super humans some time in the next 12 years, according to a Google expert. Ray Kurzweil says future cyborg generations will be sexier, smarter and stronger

To the contrary - he believes that implanting computers in our brains will improve us.

'We're going to get more neocortex, we're going to be funnier, we're going to be better at music. We're going to be sexier', he said.

'We're really going to exemplify all the things that we value in humans to a greater degree.'

Rather than a vision of the future where machines take over humanity, Kurzweil believes we will create a human-machine synthesis which will improve us.

+3
Ray Kurzweil, an author who describes himself as a futurist said that by 2029, computers will have human-level intelligence at the the South by Southwest (SXSW) conference in Austin, Texas (stock image)

MACHINE BRAINS
The process began centuries ago with simple devices such as eyeglasses and ear trumpets that could dramatically improve human lives.

Then came better machines, such as hearing aids; and then machines that could save lives, including pacemakers and dialysis machines.

By the second decade of the 21st Century, we have become used to organs grown in laboratories, genetic surgery and designer babies.

In 2002, medical researchers used enzymes and DNA to build the first molecular computers, and in 2004 improved versions were being injected into people’s veins to fight cancer.

If the trend continues Kurzweil believes carbon and silicon-based intelligence will merge to form a single global consciousness by 2029.

WHAT IS SINGULARITY
Technological singularity is the development of 'superintelligence' brought about through the use of technology.

The first use of the term 'singularity' refer to technological minds was by mathematician John von Neumann in the mid-1950s.

He said: 'ever accelerating progress of technology and changes in the mode of human life, which gives the appearance of approaching some essential singularity in the history of the race beyond which human affairs, as we know them, could not continue.'

The term was then used by science fiction writer Vernor Vinge who believes brain-computer interfaces are causes of the singularity.

Ray Kurzweil cited von Neumann's use of the term in a foreword to von Neumann's classic The Computer and the Brain.

Kurzweil predicts the singularity to occur some time in the next 12 years.



Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencet...umans-Google-expert-claims.html#ixzz4bWP8t9Rc
Follow us: @MailOnline on Twitter | DailyMail on Facebook

Ray is a one trick pony.

Its a good trick, but if you watched an interview of him ten years ago, you dont need to watch another

 

[Maximus]

Ray is a one trick pony.

Its a good trick, but if you watched an interview of him ten years ago, you dont need to watch another

That's a joke, right? He's pretty much one of the smartest people on the planet.

Raymond "Ray" Kurzweil (/ˈkɜːrzwaɪl/ kurz-wyl; born February 12, 1948) is an American author, computer scientist, inventor and futurist. Aside from futurism, he is involved in fields such as optical character recognition (OCR), text-to-speech synthesis, speech recognition technology, and electronic keyboard instruments. He has written books on health, artificial intelligence (AI), transhumanism, the technological singularity, and futurism. Kurzweil is a public advocate for the futurist and transhumanist movements, and gives public talks to share his optimistic outlook on life extension technologies and the future of nanotechnology, robotics, and biotechnology.

Kurzweil was the principal inventor of the first charge-coupled device flatbed scanner,[2] the first omni-font optical character recognition,[2] the first print-to-speech reading machine for the blind,[3] the first commercial text-to-speech synthesizer,[4] the Kurzweil K250 music synthesizer capable of simulating the sound of the grand piano and other orchestral instruments, and the first commercially marketed large-vocabulary speech recognition.[5]

Kurzweil received the 1999 National Medal of Technology and Innovation, the United States' highest honor in technology, from President Clinton in a White House ceremony. He was the recipient of the $500,000 Lemelson-MIT Prize for 2001,[6] the world's largest for innovation. And in 2002 he was inducted into the National Inventors Hall of Fame, established by the U.S. Patent Office. He has received twenty-one honorary doctorates, and honors from three U.S. presidents. Kurzweil has been described as a "restless genius"[7] by The Wall Street Journal and "the ultimate thinking machine"[8] by Forbes. PBS included Kurzweil as one of 16 "revolutionaries who made America"[9] along with other inventors of the past two centuries. Inc. magazine ranked him #8 among the "most fascinating" entrepreneurs in the United States and called him "Edison's rightful heir".[10]

Kurzweil has written seven books, five of which have been national bestsellers. The Age of Spiritual Machines has been translated into 9 languages and was the #1 best-selling book on Amazon in science. Kurzweil's book The Singularity Is Near was a New York Times bestseller, and has been the #1 book on Amazon in both science and philosophy. Kurzweil speaks widely to audiences both public and private and regularly delivers keynote speeches at industry conferences like DEMO, SXSW and TED. He maintains the news website KurzweilAI.net, which has over three million readers annually.[5]

 

[David.]

That's a joke, right? He's pretty much one of the smartest people on the planet.

Raymond "Ray" Kurzweil (/ˈkɜːrzwaɪl/ kurz-wyl; born February 12, 1948) is an American author, computer scientist, inventor and futurist. Aside from futurism, he is involved in fields such as optical character recognition (OCR), text-to-speech synthesis, speech recognition technology, and electronic keyboard instruments. He has written books on health, artificial intelligence (AI), transhumanism, the technological singularity, and futurism. Kurzweil is a public advocate for the futurist and transhumanist movements, and gives public talks to share his optimistic outlook on life extension technologies and the future of nanotechnology, robotics, and biotechnology.

Kurzweil was the principal inventor of the first charge-coupled device flatbed scanner,[2] the first omni-font optical character recognition,[2] the first print-to-speech reading machine for the blind,[3] the first commercial text-to-speech synthesizer,[4] the Kurzweil K250 music synthesizer capable of simulating the sound of the grand piano and other orchestral instruments, and the first commercially marketed large-vocabulary speech recognition.[5]

Kurzweil received the 1999 National Medal of Technology and Innovation, the United States' highest honor in technology, from President Clinton in a White House ceremony. He was the recipient of the $500,000 Lemelson-MIT Prize for 2001,[6] the world's largest for innovation. And in 2002 he was inducted into the National Inventors Hall of Fame, established by the U.S. Patent Office. He has received twenty-one honorary doctorates, and honors from three U.S. presidents. Kurzweil has been described as a "restless genius"[7] by The Wall Street Journal and "the ultimate thinking machine"[8] by Forbes. PBS included Kurzweil as one of 16 "revolutionaries who made America"[9] along with other inventors of the past two centuries. Inc. magazine ranked him #8 among the "most fascinating" entrepreneurs in the United States and called him "Edison's rightful heir".[10]

Kurzweil has written seven books, five of which have been national bestsellers. The Age of Spiritual Machines has been translated into 9 languages and was the #1 best-selling book on Amazon in science. Kurzweil's book The Singularity Is Near was a New York Times bestseller, and has been the #1 book on Amazon in both science and philosophy. Kurzweil speaks widely to audiences both public and private and regularly delivers keynote speeches at industry conferences like DEMO, SXSW and TED. He maintains the news website KurzweilAI.net, which has over three million readers annually.[5]

In regards to his appearances, no.

Its a script at this point. I only read the headline and intro paragraph, id put money on being able to summarize the rest

Im familiar with other things hes done but i havent seen anything outside of "tech predictor, singularity" since i learned of him a decade ago.

 

[Deezus]

love Kurzweil

You're welcome. ;-)

 

[David.]

You're welcome. ;-)

I never said i didn't. I've written many more posts praising him.

But news for him for a decade has been entirely related to the singularity and predictions

Those positions can coexist.

 

[Deezus]

I never said i didn't. I've written alot more posts praising him than that.

But news for him for a decade has been entirely related to the singularity and predictions

I mean... his prediction is for the Singularity to occur sometime in 2040s/2050s. Given the nature of exponential growth, the majority of the acceleration in technology that will undoubtedly vindicate him will occur in the last few SECONDS of that time period. Seriously... I desribe my understanding of the Technological Singularity as such: "The moment in time when the growth in intelligence is so fast that 'we' literally learn more in one second than we've learned in all of the history of humankind." Its truly a mind-blowing thought.

In the meantime, Ray Kurzweil started a college:
https://su.org/

He was personally hired by Google cofounder, Larry Page as a Director of Engineering at Google:
https://techcrunch.com/2012/12/14/r...cusing-on-machine-learning-and-language-tech/

And he recently had a cool article out regarding his pursuit of "true AI":
http://www.theverge.com/2016/5/27/11801108/ray-kurzweil-building-chatbot-for-google

What the hell else are you looking for at this point in time? The idea is that the technological growth gets faster and faster over time. It doesn't have to be directly created or correlated to work done by Kurzweil. He's already been vindicated in the U.S. government, the international community, and the corporate world. All that needs to happen now is his predictions need to be relatively close to what happens in reality. I, for one, think they will be.

I perceive your attitude towards him to be in the realm of "what have you done for me lately"? I guess, when you make a feasible prediction regarding the fucking future of the human race and that prediction looks to have some legs but is 3-4 decades away from potentially coming true (with the greatest rates of change coming at the very end), what the hell are you supposed to do to satisfy the taint-stabbing armchair futurist nay-saysers such as yourself while your prediction is coming to fruition?

 

[David.]

I mean... his prediction is for the Singularity to occur sometime in 2040s/2050s. Given the nature of exponential growth, the real acceleration in technology that will undoubtedly vindicate him will occur in the last few years of that time period.

In the meantime, he's started a college:
https://su.org/

He was personally hired by Google cofounder, Larry Page as a Director of Engineering at Google:
https://techcrunch.com/2012/12/14/r...cusing-on-machine-learning-and-language-tech/

And he recently had a cool article out regarding his pursuit of "true AI":
http://www.theverge.com/2016/5/27/11801108/ray-kurzweil-building-chatbot-for-google

What the hell else are you looking for at this point in time? The idea is that the technological growth gets faster and faster over time. It doesn't have to be directly created or correlated to work done by Kurzweil. He's already been vindicated in the U.S. government, the international community, and the corporate world. All that needs to happen now is his predictions need to be relatively close to what happens in reality. I, for one, think they will be.

I perceive your attitude towards him to be in the realm of "what have you done for me lately"? I guess, when you make a feasible prediction regarding the fucking future of the human race and that prediction looks to have some legs but is 3-4 decades away from potentially coming true (with the greatest rates of change coming at the very end), what the hell are you supposed to do to satisfy the taint-stabbing armchair futurist nay-saysers such as yourself while your prediction is coming to fruition?

Lol i have nothing against his predictions, whatsoever. I'm not marginalizing that. Highly probable i dont sniff his ass on any type of accomplishments in my lifetime

I'm merely saying, besides him being taken on by google, the only thing I've heard about him was related to the singularity. Its not a knock on the theory of exponential growth or his predictions. I'm just saying, is the article above an introduction to him and singularity and exponential growth and his contributions to technology and a prediction of something that's going to be developed?

I didn't know about google, ill read up on it

 

[Deezus]

This is true.

But what gets lost in all of this is that, at the point of the singularity, we become the robots. We realize we have no use for not melding with the artificial and the synthetic. The point is that our evolutionary path goes from being purely biologically driven, over countless generations, to becoming a technologically-driven single generation of multiple iterations of ever-advancing evolution happening in real-time.

Human beings will essentially jump from a biological operating system that requires death to evolve, to one that can just get some patches and that runs in the cloud.

I think that's a bit simplified and I think the process to get to where you ultimately think this will go (of which, I pretty much agree), could be a very, very messy affair, complete with some particularly difficult ethical ramifications.

I want to specifically address the following (just off the top of my head):

- Who has access to the latest technology in the buildup to the Technological Singularity?

- When, ultimately, will technology advance to this assumingly "blissful" state of evolution where we see ourselves as being part of the same living organism, with each entity having an equal amount of risk at stake... where we are so enlightened and our intelligence is so evolved/enhanced that greed, power, and selfishness are superceded by the overall urge to help our "transhuman race" succeed?

- is the Singularity an "unstoppable" phenomenon?

- Assuming the aforementioned state of "enlightenment", or something close to it, is inevitable when it occurs, could those with initial access to it as it is about to occur stop it? In other words, considering there is an incentive for those with primary/inital accesss to such technology to withhold it from the larger population, would they be able to? I'd be willing to bet "they" are going to try.

 

[Deezus]

I didn't know about google, ill read up on it

But its a script though... right? Except you haven't noticed that he was hired by the god damn co-founder of arguably the best tech company on the planet 5 years ago...

Just saying...