Jack Brickman
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Added three IR slots. Players must be at least considered Doubtful to occupy them.
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RCF Dynasty Football League
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Jack Brickman
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Scratch that. Setting it to doubtful allows suspended players to be placed on IR too. Minimum is now Out.
Jack Brickman
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I already picked up Hollins.
Stark
The Winds of Winter
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I welcomed A.J. McCarron to my exclusive list of elite quarterbacks that includes Alex Smith and Christian Hackenberg.
Jack Brickman
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Ob1 Kenobi: C+
While Ob1 did walk out of the draft with two of the top ten picks in dynasty (Julio Jones and Ezekiel Elliott), it was a move that may have came at the expense of some starter depth, particularly at the WR position. This is a rough WR group. It's headlined by one of the best receivers in the league, but after that, things get quite a bit dicier.
First off, there's Jarvis Landry, a PPR darling in previous years. However, it remains to be seen how effective he'll be with Jay Cutler throwing to him in his gives no fucks, gunslinger style, which is basically the polar opposite of Ryan Tannehill's shitty game manager style. If I were a betting man, I'd wager that Parker benefits far more from Cutler's style than Landry, as it will be bombs away rather than Landry's two yard Tannehill safety valve routes in Miami. There have been reports that Landry may be traded, though, although where to is anyone's guess.
After those two, the WR quality on Ob1's team falls off a cliff. Jones may benefit from the situation he's found himself in, but I don't really trust him based on his college production. He's an elite athlete, but his godawful YPC in college belies that fact. I like Ross a lot as a prospect, but he's got a lot of guys in front of him on the depth chart right now, and he's missed a lot of valuable preseason time. It's unlikely he produces anything of note this year, and AJ Green isn't going anywhere any time in the near future. Lockett is intriguing as a small, speedy deep threat, but I'm not sure he'll ever get enough targets in Seattle while Baldwin and Graham are there to be fantasy viable on a weekly basis.
Agholor, on the other hand, has been one of the most inefficient receivers in the league the past two years. He's also in a crowded situation that will do him no favors. There's already talk that several other guys on the team may take snaps out of the slot, which further limits the value of a guy best suited for slot work. He's only been targeted once this preseason so far, which doesn't bode well going forward. Braxton Miller may have a shot at some real playing time with Fuller out for the year (probably), but he's been injured for most of the preseason and thus isn't getting much rep work with QB Tom Savage. If nothing else, he's at least an intriguing athletic prospect, although he lacks the size that helped fellow QB turned WR Terrelle Pryor succeed early on in his transition to WR.
Ob1 fared far better in the RB department than he did with his wide receivers, though. He's got a nice handful of starting backs, including the second-best RB asset in dynasty football, Ezekiel Elliott. Unfortunately, Elliott's suspension may cost him up to six games this year or next, which may leave Ob1 fighting from behind early this season (or next). Thankfully, Ob1 didn't surrender his 2018 first to get Elliott or in his trade up to acquire Julio Jones, so he can safely weather a bad season if Zeke's early absence is an issue.
While he does boast a large amount of RBs, I'd say that this is a quantity over quality bunch. Lamar Miller doesn't seem suited for a bell cow role, and may well lose his spot to rookie D'Onta Foreman, who has been very impressive in his preseason action, at some point this year. I also don't expect a whole lot from Paul Perkins. He has the opportunity in New York, but he's just not an amazing prospect. With the Giants being a pass-heavy team, he's unlikely to be much more than a flex play, if that. Ameer Abdullah is someone I am very high on, though, but it remains to be seen whether or not he can stay healthy long enough to actually produce at an elite level. Thankfully, Ob1 was at least able to grab Theo Riddick to handcuff him. I would have liked to have seen him grab Zach Zenner too near the end of the draft, but Riddick should remain a solid flex play if Abdullah once again misses time with injury. I do like Kenneth Dixon as well, but grabbing a guy in the ninth round who is going to miss the whole season with a knee injury was just not a great pick. Dixon went just a few picks before Tevin Coleman and Derrick Henry.
Doug Martin could end up being a sneaky good pick, especially at his draft position. He's had his ups and downs over the course of his career, but when he's having a good year, he's a top fantasy RB. Losing a few games to suspension will hurt him, and could potentially cost him his job if Rodgers lights it up early in the season, but Martin is still clearly the most talented back in Tampa. Rawls, like Abdullah, is another guy who has struggled to stay healthy, and his situation isn't ideal either. He may end up splitting carries with Lacy and Procise, and the RBBC may make them all useless in fantasy. I like Pumphrey, though, and grabbing both him and Sproles was a smart touch, as Pumphrey is essentially being groomed to be Sproles' successor. As for Daye, I'd be shocked if he's ever fantasy relevant. He's two injuries in Cleveland away from getting any real playing time (assuming the Browns don't sign someone else in that scenario), and he's just not a good prospect, which is why he was available in the seventh round. He's looked solid in the preseason, but call me when he does it against NFL starters consistently. At that point I'll believe that a guy who is about as athletic as me can be a viable fantasy back.
At QB, Ob1 waited until the fifth round to add Derek Carr. Carr is young, talented, and should continue to be in the low end QB1 to high end QB2 range going forward. I might have considered Stafford or Newton ahead of him, but it's a solid pick. He then grabbed Wentz in the seventh. This could end up being a sneaky good pick, as Philly really went out of their way to beef up the passing and running game during the offseason. While Blount hasn't exactly gotten rave reviews thus far, he's coming off an incredible season in New England. They also added Alshon Jeffery and Torrey Smith, both of whom should really help Wentz from getting slaughtered, provided Jeffery can stay healthy, of course. His third QB is none other than Smokin' Jay Cutler, he of the previously mentioned gunslinger mentality. Cutler isn't good, but he has a decent chance to rack up some fantasy points with a lot of talented targets in Miami. His long-term outlook, however, isn't great. He's obviously only in Miami for the payday, and there's no guarantee he won't be retired again at this time next year. Still, this is an above average QB rotation, with the starters having plenty of long-term potential.
Ob1's TE position is a little underwhelming. He did walk away with Tyler Eifert, who is an extremely talented player. The only issue is that Eifert just can't stay healthy. He's always missing time with one injury or another. This wouldn't be as big an issue if he had a bit more depth at the position, but after Eifert he's left with Julius Thomas, who has been a disappointment since Manning stopped throwing to him, and Maxx Williams, who is young and has upside, but scored a total of 1.5 fantasy points last season. He is entering his third year, though, which is when TEs have a tendency to break out. He's also at least in a situation where he could earn playing time, with Baltimore losing two other TEs to season-ending injuries already.
Defensively, Ob1 did pretty well. He's got two guys who both scored in the top ten at their positions last year. He also grabbed Kiko Alonso, a guy who had an electric start to his career before a trade and injuries hampered his production, near the end of the draft. If Alonso is able to find his form again, he could finish as a top ten LB. He's a bit weak at the DB position, but Chancellor could be a solid pick if he's able to play the whole season this year.
All in all, this was a decent but not great draft. Ob1 finished with some high-end talent, but his depth at WR could really hurt him going forward. He's relying heavily on guys to break out who have a difficult path to opportunity at the receiver position. At RB, he's mostly relying on health. He's got a great RB rotation if everyone can stay healthy, but when injuries inevitably do happen he's just not going to have WRs to fall back on.
Favorite Pick(s): Jarvis Landry (#66), Jay Cutler (#221)
Crazy that the PPR king was still available in the sixth round. He may lose some value with Cutler throwing to him instead of Tannehill, but he's still a high-volume receiver in a PPR league, and he's only 24. And while I'm not a fan of Cutler by any means, grabbing him that late in a superflex draft was a pick well spent. If nothing else, he's injury insurance and bye week filler.
Least Favorite Pick(s): Paul Perkins (#92), Kenneth Dixon (#107)
I get that Perkins is a starting RB, but there were a number of guys I likely would have taken over him at this spot that were drafted later, including Spencer Ware (this was pre-injury, obviously), CJ Anderson, Duke Johnson, Tevin Coleman, and Derrick Henry. Same goes with Dixon. There were just a lot of better options on the board at that point in the draft.
Tornicade
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I almost picked him like three times. good choice
FiveThous
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Thank you, fucker.
sportscoach
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Well I am looking scary since I am supposed to put up a ton of points! May you all be victims!
Jack Brickman
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SuperSurging: A-
SuperSurge put together one of the better drafts in the league offensively, stacking up receivers like it was his job. This tactic gives him a ton of trade bait going forward, but also forced him to make some sacrifices defensively and at the RB position.
Let's start with the QBs. Surge leveraged some early trades to position himself nicely to grab two of the last potential QB1s on the board, grabbing both Cousins and Newton back to back near the end of the fifth round's brutal QB run. Not only did this position him nicely going forward, but it really screwed over some of the owners draft behind him. And while Surge does have some nice depth at the QB position, none of his bench players are currently starting, which could hurt him during his two QB bye weeks (five and eleven). However, he does have some guys who may end up starting at some point this year in Peterman, Beathard, and even Mahomes, so this is a problem that may work itself out.
At running back, SuperSurging first drafted Devonta Freeman midway through the second round. This was a good pick, as Freeman just signed a monster contract and should be the starter in Atlanta for the foreseeable future. It would have been nice to see Surge grab Freeman's handcuff later in the draft to cover for injury, though, as there's not a lot of starter depth behind Freeman on this roster. He'll have Jacquizz Rodgers as a starter early in the season, but that's a spot Rodgers is almost certain to give back up to Doug Martin once his suspension is served. Derrick Henry, meanwhile, is an excellent talent, but will be at best locked in a time share so long as DeMarco Murray is healthy. Henry is a nice long-term piece, though, as he's very likely to eventually be the workhorse in Tennessee.
The rest of Surge's line-up is mostly composed of change of pace guys or guys who will need several injuries to find any sort of fantasy relevance. I do like Alvin Kamara quite a bit, and he's stepping in to an offense that has a role for him already. Carson and McGuire are interesting talents, but Carson will require about ten injuries to really carve out a role and McGuire is firmly behind Powell, who will likely be a workhorse back this year after Forte is cut or traded. Chris Thompson is little more than bye week filler, a solid third-down back who probably won't translate to fantasy relevance in .5 PPR, and Surge will almost certainly have better options at the receiver position.
At wide receiver, Surge is loaded. Surge traded down frequently early in the draft, and he used the additional ammo he acquired to primarily draft wide receivers. He ended up with an excellent crew, although he does lack a guy you can confidently call a WR1. Sammy Watkins has the talent to be that guy, but I think being traded to the Rams will sap much of his early season value. It will take time for him to mesh with Goff, and that's assuming Goff isn't a bust. His long-term outlook is positive, though, and he definitely has the potential to become a fantasy WR1. Surge also ended the draft with Dez Bryant, Doug Baldwin, TY Hilton, and DeVante Parker, all of whom should buoy his offense all year.
On the bench, he's got Adam Thielen, who should continue to be a solid flex guy as the WR2 in Minny. Surge also drafted promising rookie Cooper Kupp, who should carve out an immediate role as Goff's safety valve in the slot for the Rams. Kupp is a nice value in a PPR league, as he'll likely receive a lot of volume, especially early in the year while Goff and Watkins are still figuring things out. Kearse and Goodwin are unlikely to be of much relevance this year, but they're decent end of roster depth. And Kendall Wright has a chance to be fantasy relevant this year with Cameron Meredith suffering a season-ending injury. Someone has to catch passes for the Bears, and it will likely be either him or Kevin White.
Surge's weakest offense position is almost certainly TE, where he drafted Hunter Henry and a pair of rookies. Henry is coming off of a promising rookie season where he averaged 11.5 fantasy points per game, but I'm not sure it's fair to expect him to receive the same amount of volume this year. He'll still be sharing targets with Antonio Gates, of course. But the real concern is that Keenan Allen is back and healthy, and as long as that remains true he is going to be a massive target vacuum for the Chargers. He is Rivers' favorite target by far. Tyrell Williams will likely receive his fair share as well, as he broke out in a big way last season after Allen's season-ending injury in week one. The team also drafted Mike Williams in the top ten, and Williams may hurt Henry more than anyone, as he's a big target who will probably see a lot of red zone work this year. A lot of Henry's fantasy production last year was tied to his eight touchdowns, but I don't think he gets anywhere near that number unless the injuries start piling up again on the Chargers.
Beyond Henry, Surge has promising rookies Evan Engram and Adam Shaheen. Both guys have nice draft capital and are on teams that will likely find ways to utilize them going forward. This year, though, it's unlikely to see either of them achieve much fantasy relevance. Such is the nature of the TE position. Both guys are quality options for the future, though.
Defensively, Surge may end up giving up a lot of points. He ended the draft with only two guys who finished in the top twelve at their position last year, and both of them play at the DL position, which is the weakest of the three defensive positions we start from a scoring standpoint. He's also tying a lot of his bench production at the defensive positions to rookies, which may hurt him if his starters go down with injury. Granted, those rookies are good prospects and all first round picks, but it's hard to trust rookie production at any position.
Looking past this year, Surge has taken himself out of consideration for one of the top RBs of the stacked 2018 class, as he traded his 2018 first during the draft. He does have two 2018 2nd rounders, but those will be his only picks until the fifth and final round, as he also traded away his 3rd and 4th round picks. On the plus side, he walked out of the draft with Tornicade's 2019 first, which will likely be a very high pick and a nice trade asset. What's better is that he fleeced Torn in the deal, parting with just Bilal Powell and a 2019 2nd rounder.
All in all, Surge did very well in this draft. He's got some immediate concerns at the RB and TE positions, and QB depth could be an issue this year as well, but he's positioned himself very well going forward and has a nice amount of trade chips should he choose to make some deals.
Favorite Pick(s): Dez Bryant (#42), DeVante Parker (#114)
Hard to believe Dez fell that far, as his touchdowns alone stand to make him a top fantasy receiver if healthy. With Ryan Tannehill under center, Parker's value here was about right. But with Jay Cutler gunslinging out there, it could be a significantly better value for the highly-talented receiver.
Least Favorite Pick(s): Jason Pierre-Paul (#118), Hunter Henry (#90)
While Pierre-Paul is a great player and finished in the top twelve at his position last year, it just wasn't a great value at that point in the draft. I think Surge would have been better off going with a top player at the LB or DB positions, as both tend to score much higher on average than DLs. And while I like Henry, I outlined above why he may not give the production he did last year in the crowded Chargers offense. I think Surge would have been better off grabbing Eric Ebron here, as he'll likely receive a significantly higher volume of targets and will generally be less reliant on touchdowns to maintain fantasy relevance.
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100% agree with what you said.
I like my quarterback situation, but you're right about no viable plug in behind the two starters.
And while im not too concerned about the RB situation because of only needing to start one, the TE spot scares me this year.
I have/had no idea about defense. And @Tornicade started taking defense in the 4th round. I absolutely don't know how badly that will play out this year.
Also feel like having 8 rookies (I think) should make me nervous.
With the youth and Torns 2019 1st, this teams future should be bright.
Jack Brickman
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Pariahs: D
If you were trying to sum up Tornicade's draft in a single statement, "impossibly bad" might fit. It's almost difficult to see how a snake draft could end like this. Not only is there next to zero depth among this team's starters, there's very little young, high potential talent either. Tornicade's strategy heading into the draft seemed to be to try to outsmart everyone by targeting positions most people typically address later. Unfortunately, it seems that Tornicade may have outsmarted himself instead.
But let's start this review with some positives. At RB, Tornicade ended the draft with three guys who all have a shot of being RB1s or RB2s this season. McCoy is who he is, and that's one of the best backs in fantasy. While his age would probably have had me holding off until at least the second, I can at least see an argument toward spending a late first on him. Blount is coming off an incredible year in New England, but it's highly unlikely he comes anywhere close to the numbers he put up last year in Philly's much less efficient offense. Powell is all set up to be the workhorse for the Jets if he can stay healthy, although I'd like this one a lot more if Torn hadn't burned his 2019 first to get him, by far the worst deal made during the draft.
Beyond those two, Zach Zenner could achieve fantasy relevance again if Abdullah gets hurt, but beyond that he will likely be primarily a goal line back and, thus, an inconsistent fantasy play. I don't even know who Corey Grant or Raheem Mostert are, and a quick search has informed me that both will require about forty injuries to get any sort of actual playing time, provided they even make the final roster at all. While his starters might be solid, there's just not much depth here.
At the quarterback position, Torn is out to prove that quantity does not equal quality. To be fair, he did draft Matt Ryan, the second-best fantasy QB last year, near the end of the fourth round. I would expect some natural regression from Ryan this year, but he should still easily be a fantasy QB1. After that, things get dicier. Torn's second starter is second-year QB Jared Goff, who is coming off an absolutely disastrous rookie year where he looked godawful. That said, I would expect some improvement this year. The Rams have a new coach and thus a shot at running a competent offense. They also surrounded Goff with some intriguing receiving weapons, including Sammy Watkins and slot rookie Cooper Kupp. While you can probably expect Goff to get off to a rough start this year, I could see him becoming a viable QB2. Most QBs drafted first overall tend to pan out, after all.
Torn ended up with eight additional QBs aside from Goff and Ryan, but they are mostly a mixed bag of back-ups (Jones, Schaub) and guys I am pretty sure are made up (Stephen Morris, Cooper Rush). The bulk of these guys will require at least one injury to become relevant at all, and even then most of them are back-ups for a reason, and the reason is that they aren't good. It's hard to rely on any of them putting up real fantasy numbers even if they become starters.
At TE, Torn made a very nice pick when he snagged Zach Ertz at the end of the third. Ertz doesn't score a lot of touchdowns, but he's a big volume guy. I think it's fair to assume he may receive less targets this year with Jeffery there, but with 1.5 PPR for TEs, he should continue to be a TE1 in fantasy. I'm not a big fan of Tyler Higbee, though, especially since the Rams drafted a better prospect without the off the field issues in Gerald Everett. I think it's safe to say that the new front office will likely consider Everett their guy, and thus will push for his development at the expense of Higbee. Higbee could have some fantasy relevance this year if Everett struggles to learn the position, but I wouldn't count on it. Zach Miller could be a solid pick in the short term, though, as he'll almost certainly be the TE1 for the Bears this year. His long-term outlook isn't good, though, as he's 32 and the Bears drafted TE Adam Shaheen in the second round this year, presumably to be their future starter.
Torn is going to have a really rough season at wide receiver, though, as his top guy, Cameron Meredith, will lose the season to a knee injury. This is especially unfortunate considering that Torn gave up a decent haul to trade for Meredith in the first place. After Meredith, it's hard to find a lot of positives in this receiver group. Brandon LaFell is a decent flex guy, but doesn't really have anything in the way of upside. ArDarius Stewart has some potential this year due to injuries and the Jets' situation, but it's hard to see a lot of long-term positives there. Enunwa will be back, and the Jets are unlikely to turn to Stewart as their WR1 going forward. He could be a solid volume guy this season, though. Travis Benjamin is going to struggle to see targets with Allen back, Tyrell Williams still there, and Mike Williams getting healthy. Terrance Williams is one of those "never was" guys, someone who has constantly been drafted on the potential he's never been able to realize. Demarcus Robinson is basically a bargain basement Tyreek Hill, which is especially unfortunate because the actual Tyreek Hill is on the same team. Noah Brown is just a guy. He wasn't dominant in college and his athleticism is nothing to write home about. It's hard to see him doing much of anything this year or going forward.
Moving on to defense, this is an area where Torn spent a lot of draft capital, and as such he's really going to need his defense to carry his team on a weekly basis. The problem with this strategy, in my mind, is that defensive players are much more inconsistent than offensive players. They'll routinely have weeks where they give you absolutely nothing, which are far less common at WR and RB.
That said, Torn did get some good defensive players in this draft, along with several guys who have some nice long-term potential. He snagged JJ Watt in the second round, which I think was a heinous overdraft of a talented player, but at least Watt has a high ceiling. He has a 300 point fantasy season on record, which is more than a lot of skill position guys can say. Further, Watt is typically head and shoulders above everyone else at the DL position, which gives him a great positional scoring advantage. Unfortunately, the fact that a second rounder was spent on him will likely negate any advantage there. Also at the DL position, Torn drafted promising Browns rookie Myles Garrett. Garrett is a phenomenal prospect. I doubt he'll ever become what Watt has from a fantasy standpoint, but if he stays healthy he'll likely be a DL1 in fantasy for years.
Torn also walked out of the draft with a very nice pair of starting linebackers in Kwon Alexander and Navorro Bowman. Bowman's main concern is injuries, but when he's healthy he's a top IDP guy. Alexander, meanwhile, accumulates a lot of tackles in a scheme that seems to really benefit his fantasy scoring. Beyond those two, Torn also added Vontaze Burfict, who is an effective but constantly injured or suspended player that should serve as nice depth at the position. Further, he grabbed Cleveland's own Joe the Show, who should be in line for a lot more reps this year in an expanded defensive role.
At DB, Torn's first pick was Keanu Neal near the end of the sixth. Neal is coming off a rookie year where he was the fifth best DB in fantasy, and it's probably safe to assume some improvement on that this year. The fact that he finished fifth at his position can also help highlight the issue with drafting defensive players this high, though, as that would rank him at 152nd overall in our league's scoring system, and there are just better options available at other positions that early in the draft. Torn also drafted Keith Tandy, who is basically just a shrug of a player. Finally, he grabbed Jabrill Peppers, a promising rookie who will likely have a big role going forward that may well translate to fantasy relevance.
When I look at this draft, my first thought is essentially, "Well, he must have stockpiled future picks to end up with a roster like that." That would unfortunately be an incorrect assessment of the situation. For a roster that has as many short and long-term holes as Pariahs, he also has almost no ammo to improve going forward either. This is a team that has no first round pick in either 2018 or 2019, which will absolutely come back to haunt Tornicade.
Overall, it's hard to come away with a very positive outlook here. This is a team that drafted a lot of win now guys, but probably doesn't have much of a shot of winning now. It's also a team that forfeited significant assets that could have helped the team improve in the future. Torn does have some intriguing trade chips defensively, but it's impossible to know how other owners value defensive assets (it's much easier with offensive players, as there's a general consensus on most guys), which is why stockpiling them likely isn't the best tactic. I would have liked to have seen some consistency with strategy here. If you're trading your future firsts, you need a team that can win now, and you're not winning now with Torn's receiver group. Similarly, if you're building for the future, you don't draft LeSean McCoy over Michael Thomas and Melvin Gordon, and you certainly don't trade your next two future firsts. Ultimately, this is just a team that isn't positioned well this year or for the future.
Torn's best hope is probably to start packaging off his older vets to teams going all in this year for future picks and young players with higher ceilings. Of course, this tactic would be a lot more desirable if he hadn't traded away his 2018 first.
Favorite Pick(s): Zach Ertz (#35), Navorro Bowman (#123)
Ertz was a rock solid pick at the end of the third round in 1.5 PPR TE scoring. He'll likely continue to receive a significant volume in Philly's offense, even if he loses some targets this year. Bowman is a great value at the start of the eleventh. He's one of the best players at his position and averaged almost sixteen points a game last year. Torn just needs to hope he stays healthy, as that's his only major issue.
Least Favorite Pick(s): LeSean McCoy (#11), JJ Watt (#14)
I think this was just too high for McCoy in dynasty. I'd have gone with Gordon, Freeman, Howard, or Gurley instead if targeting a RB, or gone with Michael Thomas on the WR side. Similarly, it's hard to defend drafting Watt that high with so many talented offensive players on the board. Watt has a high ceiling, but even in his best seasons consistency has been an issue, as he'd have plenty of single-digit games offset by monster 30+ point performances. While those big performances are awesome and will help win weeks, just as many weeks could be lost by the single-digit showings.
sportscoach
RD's Guardians PR Man!
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Essentially Torn will look like a genius if he wins and will look like the biggest idiot if he loses all his games. It is boom or bust for him.