The steelers will win any h2h strength of defeat tiebreaker, so losing out can get them into maybe the top 5. If there is a cluster of teams at 5-11, the Steelers would select first. Browns would likely select immediately thereafter.
http://www.solecismic.com/frontierblog/?p=651
0 chance they select first. Even though you might disagree with it, they'll play to win v. the Bengals, Packers, and Browns.
I think the draft order will end up something like this:
1 Houston Texans (2-14)
2 Minnesota Vikings (3-12-1)
3 Atlanta Falcons (4-12)
4 Oakland Raiders (4-12)
5 Washington Redskins (4-12)
6 Buffalo Bills (5-11)
7 Cleveland Browns (5-11)
8 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-11)
9 Tennessee Titans (6-10)
10 St. Louis Rams (6-10)
11 New York Giants (6-10)
12 Jacksonville Jaguars (6-10)
13 New York Jets (6-10)
14 Green Bay Packers (6-9-1)
15 Pittsburgh Steelers (8-8)
16 Baltimore Ravens (8-8)
17 San Diego Chargers (8-8)
18 Arizona Cardinals (9-7)
19 Chicago Bears (9-7)
20 Dallas Cowboys (9-7)
21 Miami Dolphins (9-7)*
22 Detroit Lions (10-6)*
23 Philadelphia Eagles (11-5)*
24 Cincinnati Bengals (10-6)*
25 Carolina Panthers (12-4)*
26 New England Patriots (13-3)*
27 San Francisco 49ers (12-4)*
28 Kansas City Chiefs (11-5)*
29 Indianapolis Colts (11-5)*
30 Seattle Seahawks (14-2)*
31 Denver Broncos (14-2)*
32 New Orleans Saints (12-4)*
* denotes playoff team (draft order for playoff teams not determined by record, but by order of elimination)
Yes, I have the Chiefs beating Cincy, Colts beating Dolphins, Panthers beating Lions, 49ers beating Eagles in the first round. Then, I have Denver beating the Chiefs, Indy beating the Patriots, Seahawks beating the Niners, Saints beating the Panthers in the divisional rounds. Then, I have Indianapolis @ Denver in the AFC Championship Game, and New Orleans @ Seattle in the NFC Championship Game, with New Orleans pulling the upset, and Denver narrowly avoiding one. I have the Saints beating Peyton in the Super Bowl for the second time and taking it home.
