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Indiana still might end up with the number 1 seed. Gone fairly unnoticed, but Miami certainly hasn't been setting the world on fire since the all-star break.
EDIT: I know this seems silly, but I think there's very little chance the team that comes out of the East will win the title.
It's silly mostly because that was also said last season. The Heat will crank it up in the playoffs and can compete with any team in the league. They're absolutely still favorites in my estimation.