View Poll Results: Who Will Win the 2012 Presidential Election?
- Voters
- 115. You may not vote on this poll
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Barack Obama
70 60.87% -
Mitt Romney
42 36.52% -
Electoral College Tie
3 2.61%
Results 4,501 to 4,515 of 5790
Thread: 2012 Presidential Election
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11-02-2012, 07:27 PM #4501
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11-02-2012, 09:25 PM #4502
Re: 2012 Presidential Election
I'd rather stay out of this dispute between you two, because, frankly, I don't give two shits about it. But, did you read the link that was in his quote?
Same link as before: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2012-1...der-no-job-youhis much has been known. What has gotten far less prominence is that of the much trumpeted 4+ million jobs added since the trough in late 2009, virtually all the job additions have gone to (part-time) workers 55 years and over. Indeed, as the chart below shows, starting since the official NBER end of the recession in June 2009, the US has cumulatively added 2.9 million jobs. However, when broken down by age cohort, 3.5 million of these jobs have gone to US workers aged between 55 and 69. Another 729K have gone to recent college grads aged 20-24.
He's talking about where those jobs are going.. you seem to have either ignored that to just post that chart or didn't understand what he was saying. (Or possibly, neither of you understood the article that was linked.)I'm one of the most thanked guys in the history of RCF, and I was one of the most loved Cavs posters on the internet before RCF existed. The readership skyrocketed since I became a staff member. I interviewed Pat Fucking O'Brien while drinking cheap scotch for the website. Some random guy just emailed me for a Cavs-related book interview last week. I'm miles away from having to defend myself.
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11-03-2012, 12:37 AM #4503Co-Owner Paddy's Pub
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Re: 2012 Presidential Election
wait a minute, is Jigo a mod now? I'm seeing red letters. good work Jigo
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11-03-2012, 12:50 AM #4504
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11-03-2012, 01:54 AM #4505
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11-03-2012, 06:13 AM #4506Team Player
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11-03-2012, 07:42 AM #4507
Re: 2012 Presidential Election
I'm one of the most thanked guys in the history of RCF, and I was one of the most loved Cavs posters on the internet before RCF existed. The readership skyrocketed since I became a staff member. I interviewed Pat Fucking O'Brien while drinking cheap scotch for the website. Some random guy just emailed me for a Cavs-related book interview last week. I'm miles away from having to defend myself.
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11-03-2012, 08:35 AM #4508Situational Stopper
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Re: 2012 Presidential Election
The chart below shows the cumulative jobs gains for those aged 20-24 (red) and 55-69 (gray). The ones below the X-axis, the cumulative job losses, are for those aged 16-19 (green) and 25-54 (blue).
The article and chart don't dispute that ANY full time jobs in those industries occured. It shows that NET jobs created primarily were part time jobs to those 55 and older. Think Walmart greeter and Walgreen's checkout ladies. Your figures from February 2010, if you look at the ZeroHedge chart, would have been after a 1.5 million cumulative job loss had occured with December 2009 being the low point. I wonder what that chart would have looked like from July 2009 to compare with ZeroHedge, or January 2009 when Obama took office.
The second chart on the ZeroHedge site shows no net jobs for those aged 25-54 since September 2009. So some industries might have hired, but others fired. Ages 16-19 lost a couple hundred thousand jobs, 20-24 gained almost a million, and the rest of the 4.2 million jobs came from 55 or older. I'm not sure how a recovery doesn't create net jobs in three years to the biggest part of its workforce, between 25 and 54 year olds.
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11-03-2012, 08:47 AM #4509
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11-03-2012, 09:27 AM #4510#howu
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Re: 2012 Presidential Election
And here comes the walk back from Dick Morris and Karl Rove. The rats are fleeing the ship.
By Tuesday morning we will all be Nate Silver.Last edited by Noonan; 11-03-2012 at 09:35 AM.
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11-03-2012, 10:08 AM #4511All Star
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11-03-2012, 10:21 AM #4512#howu
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Re: 2012 Presidential Election
Sandy will get the blame, even though Romney's "momentum" stalled a couple weeks ago. Democrats would do the same thing. You have to give the impression of a winning campaign to help build enthusiasm. But the numbers just aren't there. And now GOP pundits promising a big win will slowly head to the exits.
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11-03-2012, 10:26 AM #4513member 32
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Re: 2012 Presidential Election
Nate has a great article out this morning, in which the title says it all For romney to win state polls must be stastically biased
basically this is a done deal, unless it comes out that every single state poll out there was mis-sampling the voting population that favored obama, and the percentages of that are pretty limited, however not impossible (specifically around 16%). However its important to note (as nate says), there is also a 16% chance that the polls are favoring Romney and this thing could be a total blowoutLast edited by bob2the2nd; 11-03-2012 at 10:29 AM.
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11-03-2012, 10:36 AM #4514All Star
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Re: 2012 Presidential Election
Assuming Romney loses, any guesses on the 2016 Matchup?
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11-03-2012, 10:37 AM #4515



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