View Poll Results: Who Will Win the 2012 Presidential Election?

Voters
115. You may not vote on this poll
  • Barack Obama

    70 60.87%
  • Mitt Romney

    42 36.52%
  • Electoral College Tie

    3 2.61%
Page 301 of 386 FirstFirst ... 201251291299300301302303311351 ... LastLast
Results 4,501 to 4,515 of 5790
  1. #4501
    formerly LJ4MVP KI4MVP's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jun 2005
    Posts
    9,272
    Thanks
    1,576
    Thanked 3,637 Times in 1,463 Posts

    Default Re: 2012 Presidential Election

    Quote Originally Posted by cavsfan1985 View Post
    Your graph does not show if they were to 55 or older. So I fail to see your point. I am thinking you thought he said part time jobs to 55 and older, but be was saying part time and 55 and older.
    read it again

  2. #4502
    Rising Star bcort's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jun 2008
    Posts
    1,598
    Thanks
    210
    Thanked 806 Times in 336 Posts

    Default Re: 2012 Presidential Election

    Quote Originally Posted by KI4MVP View Post
    read it again
    I'd rather stay out of this dispute between you two, because, frankly, I don't give two shits about it. But, did you read the link that was in his quote?

    his much has been known. What has gotten far less prominence is that of the much trumpeted 4+ million jobs added since the trough in late 2009, virtually all the job additions have gone to (part-time) workers 55 years and over. Indeed, as the chart below shows, starting since the official NBER end of the recession in June 2009, the US has cumulatively added 2.9 million jobs. However, when broken down by age cohort, 3.5 million of these jobs have gone to US workers aged between 55 and 69. Another 729K have gone to recent college grads aged 20-24.
    Same link as before: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2012-1...der-no-job-you

    He's talking about where those jobs are going.. you seem to have either ignored that to just post that chart or didn't understand what he was saying. (Or possibly, neither of you understood the article that was linked.)
    I'm one of the most thanked guys in the history of RCF, and I was one of the most loved Cavs posters on the internet before RCF existed. The readership skyrocketed since I became a staff member. I interviewed Pat Fucking O'Brien while drinking cheap scotch for the website. Some random guy just emailed me for a Cavs-related book interview last week. I'm miles away from having to defend myself.

  3. The Following User Says Thank You to bcort For This Useful Post:


  4. #4503
    Co-Owner Paddy's Pub Frank Reynolds's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Location
    Somewhere in Philly
    Posts
    1,340
    Thanks
    1,868
    Thanked 1,223 Times in 442 Posts

    Default Re: 2012 Presidential Election

    wait a minute, is Jigo a mod now? I'm seeing red letters. good work Jigo

  5. #4504
    The CT Looking Like Steak MattyFos.'s Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2011
    Location
    Canton, Ohio
    Posts
    4,374
    Thanks
    10,369
    Thanked 2,745 Times in 1,293 Posts

    Default Re: 2012 Presidential Election

    Quote Originally Posted by Frank Reynolds View Post
    wait a minute, is Jigo a mod now? I'm seeing red letters. good work Jigo
    If by mod you mean fag then yes Jigo is a fag
    "Most women are interested in me, because I have dimples and I'm Canadian."- Tristan "Clam Slapper" Thompson

  6. The Following User Says Thank You to MattyFos. For This Useful Post:


  7. #4505
    formerly LJ4MVP KI4MVP's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jun 2005
    Posts
    9,272
    Thanks
    1,576
    Thanked 3,637 Times in 1,463 Posts

    Default Re: 2012 Presidential Election

    Quote Originally Posted by bcortell View Post
    I'd rather stay out of this dispute between you two, because, frankly, I don't give two shits about it. But, did you read the link that was in his quote?


    Same link as before: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2012-1...der-no-job-you

    He's talking about where those jobs are going.. you seem to have either ignored that to just post that chart or didn't understand what he was saying. (Or possibly, neither of you understood the article that was linked.)
    I contend the article is flawed. I showed a bunch of new full time jobs with good salaries, the link that keeps getting posted on an anit-obama site contends there are instead a bunch of low income part time jobs.

  8. #4506
    Team Player
    Join Date
    Jul 2010
    Posts
    1,194
    Thanks
    276
    Thanked 908 Times in 360 Posts

    Default Re: 2012 Presidential Election

    Quote Originally Posted by KI4MVP View Post
    I contend the article is flawed. I showed a bunch of new full time jobs with good salaries, the link that keeps getting posted on an anit-obama site contends there are instead a bunch of low income part time jobs.
    And at the end of the day, the stat that truly matters the most, is fewer Americans are working today than when he was handed the presidancy in 2008. That is a horrific stat.

  9. The Following User Says Thank You to billmac91 For This Useful Post:


  10. #4507
    Rising Star bcort's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jun 2008
    Posts
    1,598
    Thanks
    210
    Thanked 806 Times in 336 Posts

    Default Re: 2012 Presidential Election

    Quote Originally Posted by KI4MVP View Post
    I contend the article is flawed. I showed a bunch of new full time jobs with good salaries, the link that keeps getting posted on an anit-obama site contends there are instead a bunch of low income part time jobs.
    It's possible that it is flawed, but that picture doesn't mention anything about being full time employment (or the age groups), so I'm not sure why you keep trying to use it as a be all, end all point.
    I'm one of the most thanked guys in the history of RCF, and I was one of the most loved Cavs posters on the internet before RCF existed. The readership skyrocketed since I became a staff member. I interviewed Pat Fucking O'Brien while drinking cheap scotch for the website. Some random guy just emailed me for a Cavs-related book interview last week. I'm miles away from having to defend myself.

  11. The Following User Says Thank You to bcort For This Useful Post:


  12. #4508
    Situational Stopper
    Join Date
    Oct 2008
    Location
    Orlando
    Posts
    405
    Thanks
    297
    Thanked 346 Times in 156 Posts

    Default Re: 2012 Presidential Election

    Quote Originally Posted by KI4MVP View Post
    I contend the article is flawed. I showed a bunch of new full time jobs with good salaries, the link that keeps getting posted on an anit-obama site contends there are instead a bunch of low income part time jobs.
    The chart below shows the cumulative jobs gains for those aged 20-24 (red) and 55-69 (gray). The ones below the X-axis, the cumulative job losses, are for those aged 16-19 (green) and 25-54 (blue).

    The article and chart don't dispute that ANY full time jobs in those industries occured. It shows that NET jobs created primarily were part time jobs to those 55 and older. Think Walmart greeter and Walgreen's checkout ladies. Your figures from February 2010, if you look at the ZeroHedge chart, would have been after a 1.5 million cumulative job loss had occured with December 2009 being the low point. I wonder what that chart would have looked like from July 2009 to compare with ZeroHedge, or January 2009 when Obama took office.

    The second chart on the ZeroHedge site shows no net jobs for those aged 25-54 since September 2009. So some industries might have hired, but others fired. Ages 16-19 lost a couple hundred thousand jobs, 20-24 gained almost a million, and the rest of the 4.2 million jobs came from 55 or older. I'm not sure how a recovery doesn't create net jobs in three years to the biggest part of its workforce, between 25 and 54 year olds.

  13. #4509
    Veteran Walter White's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2008
    Posts
    8,693
    Thanks
    259
    Thanked 1,541 Times in 632 Posts

    Default Re: 2012 Presidential Election

    Quote Originally Posted by Frank Reynolds View Post
    wait a minute, is Jigo a mod now? I'm seeing red letters. good work Jigo
    Sorry on your color blindness.

  14. #4510
    #howu Noonan's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2009
    Location
    b-dale
    Posts
    3,264
    Thanks
    2,655
    Thanked 4,896 Times in 1,149 Posts

    Default Re: 2012 Presidential Election

    And here comes the walk back from Dick Morris and Karl Rove. The rats are fleeing the ship.

    By Tuesday morning we will all be Nate Silver.
    Last edited by Noonan; 11-03-2012 at 09:35 AM.

  15. The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to Noonan For This Useful Post:


  16. #4511
    All Star
    Join Date
    Mar 2009
    Location
    Akron, OH
    Posts
    4,020
    Thanks
    3,245
    Thanked 3,076 Times in 1,013 Posts

    Default Re: 2012 Presidential Election

    Quote Originally Posted by Noonan View Post
    And here comes the walk back from Dick Morris and Karl Rove. The rats are fleeing the ship.

    By Tuesday morning we will all be Nate Silver.
    Who is going to take the blame for this one?

    Mitt himself? Paul Ryan? Hurricane Sandy? The Electoral College?

  17. #4512
    #howu Noonan's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2009
    Location
    b-dale
    Posts
    3,264
    Thanks
    2,655
    Thanked 4,896 Times in 1,149 Posts

    Default Re: 2012 Presidential Election

    Quote Originally Posted by sgm405 View Post
    Who is going to take the blame for this one?

    Mitt himself? Paul Ryan? Hurricane Sandy? The Electoral College?
    Sandy will get the blame, even though Romney's "momentum" stalled a couple weeks ago. Democrats would do the same thing. You have to give the impression of a winning campaign to help build enthusiasm. But the numbers just aren't there. And now GOP pundits promising a big win will slowly head to the exits.

  18. The Following User Says Thank You to Noonan For This Useful Post:


  19. #4513
    member 32 bob2the2nd's Avatar
    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Location
    where MD, DE, and PA come together
    Posts
    9,741
    Thanks
    3,087
    Thanked 1,558 Times in 695 Posts

    Default Re: 2012 Presidential Election

    Quote Originally Posted by Noonan View Post
    And here comes the walk back from Dick Morris and Karl Rove. The rats are fleeing the ship.

    By Tuesday morning we will all be Nate Silver.

    Nate has a great article out this morning, in which the title says it all For romney to win state polls must be stastically biased

    basically this is a done deal, unless it comes out that every single state poll out there was mis-sampling the voting population that favored obama, and the percentages of that are pretty limited, however not impossible (specifically around 16%). However its important to note (as nate says), there is also a 16% chance that the polls are favoring Romney and this thing could be a total blowout
    Last edited by bob2the2nd; 11-03-2012 at 10:29 AM.

  20. The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to bob2the2nd For This Useful Post:


  21. #4514
    All Star
    Join Date
    Mar 2009
    Location
    Akron, OH
    Posts
    4,020
    Thanks
    3,245
    Thanked 3,076 Times in 1,013 Posts

    Default Re: 2012 Presidential Election

    Assuming Romney loses, any guesses on the 2016 Matchup?

  22. #4515
    WGAF/WGAS Damage's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2007
    Location
    The Jungle
    Posts
    9,681
    Thanks
    4,594
    Thanked 6,791 Times in 2,093 Posts

    Default Re: 2012 Presidential Election

    Quote Originally Posted by Frank Reynolds View Post
    wait a minute, is Jigo a mod now? I'm seeing red letters. good work Jigo
    He was Pinked. As will I

Tags for this Thread

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  
Single Sign On provided by vBSSO