FANTASY FOOTBALL 2017

[Jack Brickman]

Lmao!!

A second rounder!? Wild move.

It's a dynasty rookie second rounder, so it's not quite the same as a start-up 2nd. Still valuable, but it's not like I'm drafting Melving Gordon with that late second like I could in a start-up.

As a reference, I got Adam Thielen with 3.1 in our rookie/FA draft a month or so ago (I expect this pick to be 2.8 or 2.9). Solid player, potential flex play, not a star.

Anyway, I doubt I'll hold on to this pick. I'm in win-now mode, so I'll probably try to trade it. I know this wasn't technically a win-now trade, but the value was too good for me to pass up.

That said, I can see why the guy who made the offer made it. He had the best record last year and came in second place overall. His RB position is also kind of a mess right now. He's got Shady, who is elite, but beyond that he's got a lot of question marks.

Forte - Old and injured.
Ryan Matthews - Injured and likely to be cut from Philly once he's healthy.
Sproles - 34. Probably done.
Jacquizz - Should be the week one starter, but likely to lose his job either once Martin comes back or to McNichols.
Gillislee - Hard to trust Patriot backs, as outside of last year Bill typically goes by committee.

Duke was solid last year and should improve this year with a greater role, and he was very efficient when he saw touches last year, but I don't think you can rely on him this year in fantasy like you can with Woodhead. If Woodhead is healthy, he's got a great chance of being an RB1 this year.

 

[Triplethreat]

It's a dynasty rookie second rounder, so it's not quite the same as a start-up 2nd. Still valuable, but it's not like I'm drafting Melving Gordon with that late second like I could in a start-up.

As a reference, I got Adam Thielen with 3.1 in our rookie/FA draft a month or so ago (I expect this pick to be 2.8 or 2.9). Solid player, potential flex play, not a star.

Anyway, I doubt I'll hold on to this pick. I'm in win-now mode, so I'll probably try to trade it. I know this wasn't technically a win-now trade, but the value was too good for me to pass up.

Shit I keep forgetting it's Dynasty.

Still think it's a good trade. Do we even know if Woodhead can stay healthy?

 

[Jack Brickman]

Shit I keep forgetting it's Dynasty.

Still think it's a good trade. Do we even know if Woodhead can stay healthy?

Yeah, it's a definite win for me value-wise.

But as I edited in to the post above, if Woodhead is healthy I expect a RB1 or RB2 season from him this year. He'll have a ton of opportunity with Dixon out for the year and he's an all-time great satellite back who tends to score a lot of touchdowns. I fully expect him to score more than Duke this season if both are healthy.

 

[Hurl Bruce]

Got a trade offer in my dynasty league today.

Give: Danny Woodhead
Get: Duke Johnson, 2018 2nd (likely late)

Couldn't hit accept on that one fast enough. Especially true considering that I got Woodhead off of waivers a few weeks ago, so I essentially got Poopdick and a 2nd for free. When I read the trade, I had to do a double take because I figured I'd be the one giving up the 2nd.

Woodhead will likely be better this year, but the dude's 32.

He's old and gets hurt every year. He'll do well in short spurts but is not someone to invest in.

 

[Jack Brickman]

He's old and gets hurt every year. He'll do well in short spurts but is not someone to invest in.

He does get hurt a lot, likely due to his size (38th percentile body mass index for a RB). But when he's healthy, dude's a beast and a touchdown machine. We're only two years away from him putting up a season of 1000+ combined yards and 9 total touchdowns. He'll also likely be utilized a lot in Baltimore's offense as a safety valve for Flacco. His health is by no means a guarantee, but if he does stay healthy I'd wager he's at worst an RB2.

Then again, I got him for free on waivers in the offseason, so I didn't really have any attachment to him.

No regrets from me on the trade, though. Duke is only 23 years old and was incredibly efficient when given the ball.

Last year, Duke was:
#2 in the NFL in juke rate.
#5 in breakaway run rate.
#3 in yards per touch.
#5 in yards after contact per touch.
#15 in fantasy points per opportunity.

And happily, Cleveland now has an analytical front office who will see these types of numbers and share them with their head coach so that he can utilize them. Good combo.

 

[SixPACK]

 

[Triplethreat]

He tries to do that shit way too much now instead of just making the catch easier on himself with two hands......

 

[kevinoc0]

My 10 team league decided to switch over to a 2QB league, which will be my first time trying it out. We're also bringing over our keepers from the previous year, which really helps me out.

Keeping:
Leveon - 1st Rd
Jordan Howard - Undrafted (16th Rounder)
Brady - 8th Rounder

Given that I have Brady at such a value, should I still reach early for another stud QB and look to round out my WRs after? 10 team league, so nearly all of the studs will be kept. Any good strategy for drafting 2 QB leagues? Standard scoring btw.

 

[Jack Brickman]

My 10 team league decided to switch over to a 2QB league, which will be my first time trying it out. We're also bringing over our keepers from the previous year, which really helps me out.

Keeping:
Leveon - 1st Rd
Jordan Howard - Undrafted (16th Rounder)
Brady - 8th Rounder

Given that I have Brady at such a value, should I still reach early for another stud QB and look to round out my WRs after? 10 team league, so nearly all of the studs will be kept. Any good strategy for drafting 2 QB leagues? Standard scoring btw.

If you've already got Brady, I'd angle for another stud QB like Rodgers if you can get him. You'd be getting over fifty points a game combined from those two in standard scoring (based on last year's numbers), more if you do six point QB touchdowns. That gives you a huge advantage. Brees is another guy that would provide roughly the same production. I'd avoid Luck since we have no idea when he'll actually play. I think he's a lock to miss at least one game, and probably more. I think he only just started throwing again.

You've already got two top ten RBs, and WR is a much deeper position, so I'd go all in on a second QB early and then pick up some reliable tier two WRs to fill out your roster, snagging another couple of RBs where the value is right. Most of the best receivers will likely be kept anyway, and there are a ton of good second tier guys you can draft in the middle rounds.

Oh yeah, and assuming it is two QB and not superflex (which, if you're unfamiliar, lets you start a WR/RB/TE in addition to a second QB to give you more flexibility), I'd be looking to grab your third QB earlier rather than later. Just make sure none of the three have the same bye week. I'd try to get in on one of the guys who is viewed as a QB2 but typically puts up QB1 production like Stafford or Dalton. Those guys are undervalued but pretty reliably give you twenty a game.

 

[Jack Brickman]

Oh yeah, and next time you have questions about what you should do, post your scoring set-up (is it PPR or standard, and are there any other non-standard rules that impact scoring?) and your starting line-ups. Those types of intricacies have an effect on draft strategy.

For example, if your league is full PPR, it lessens the overall impact of WRs, as there is a massive third tier of solid starters who get you 10+ a game. It basically levels the playing field after the studs are off the board. It also makes certain RBs more valuable, as a back who catches forty passes a year gets a roughly two point boost per game in their overall scoring.

 

[Hurl Bruce]

I'm doing a best ball survivor league where the lowest team score is eliminated each week. This is best ball, so it is draft only.

16 teams with 16 players on each team.

Start 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE each week.

I will be picking 8th.

I really don't know how to attack this thing. How would you approach this? My first inclination is to grab Zeke if he's there at 8. Then, all I have to do is survive the first 6 weeks (as it stands now) and then I have a well rested stud in my lineup.

 

[SixPACK]

 

[Tornicade]

I'm doing a best ball survivor league where the lowest team score is eliminated each week. This is best ball, so it is draft only.

16 teams with 16 players on each team.

Start 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE each week.

I will be picking 8th.

I really don't know how to attack this thing. How would you approach this? My first inclination is to grab Zeke if he's there at 8. Then, all I have to do is survive the first 6 weeks (as it stands now) and then I have a well rested stud in my lineup.

Zeke might not be suspended the first six games. It really depends on what type of appeal case he has and how long arbitration takes and if there is any legal basis for an appeal.
If his appeal isn't settled before the season begins. You might not have Zeke for the Fantasy playoffs.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/2017/08/16/ezekiel-elliott-appeal-nfl-players-union/574573001/

Zeke has the support of the players Union.

There is also the potential that the 6 game suspension could be reduced just as Henderson ( who is hearing the appeal) did in the Josh Brown suspension in October.

Zeke was never arrested in either the Columbus nor the Dallas incidence.

Zeke may be willing to take a lower game suspension for conduct as long as it was treated as domestic violence.

If its a scoring league and not a head to head then Zeke is less of a liability as long as you don't have many misses with your other picks. that its a 16 team league works in your favor as Talent will be diluted and you will be relying on your bye week talent at some point anyways.

 

[Jack Brickman]

I feel like I could suit up and be roughly as effective as Blake Bortles at this point.

 

[Tornicade]

@The Wizard of Moz just like I thought loves to run his mouth but has no interest in backing it up.

lets set this bet up. the guy with the lower winning percentage changes their RCF handle. if its a tie we both change our RCF handle.