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2018 College Football Season/Playoff Thread

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Clemson getting two 1st place votes is laughable
 
Playoff thoughts:

- If I had to guess today, the 1/4 matchup would be Bama and Clemson and 2/3 would be Notre Dame and OSU. I think Clemson barfs up a game somewhere, but still wins the ACC. Notre Dame runs the table. Bama at 13-0 or 12-1 SEC Champs is the #1. I think a 13-0 OSU jumps a 12-1 Bama, but for now, assume both OSU and Bama have the same record. This also has a couple presumptions

- First, I am basically discounting the Pac12. I know that's silly to do early, but everyone in the North already has a loss. Maybe if Stanford or Washington run the table, they have a shot. But they'd need help.

- More interesting case is the Big12. Obviously, Oklahoma is their best candidate. But WVU, Texas, Ohie St and TCU all look like solid opponents. Oklahoma will play all 4, and 1 of them 2x, if they make the B12 CCG. How does 1 loss Oklahoma compare to a 1 loss OSU or 1 loss Clemson?

- My guess is that if Notre Dame wins out and Bama wins the SEC, and they have to decide between OSU/Clemson/Oklahoma, and all are 1 loss, that OSU and Clemson make it. But OSU and Oklahoma would definitely have better SOS than Clemson.
 
According to an article I read on ESPN earlier, based on past trends, there are really only nine teams left that have a chance to make the college football playoffs (in their opinion):
  1. Alabama
  2. Ohio State
  3. Georgia
  4. Clemson
  5. Notre Dame
  6. Oklahoma
  7. Penn State
  8. Washington
  9. Michigan
First two off were LSU and West Virginia.
 
Michigan has a real difficult 3-game stretch starting next weekend, according to that same piece. I’m incredulous they come out unscathed.
 
UGA has a tough slate as does LSU.. But Ohio States schedule is rigorous this year..
 
MGMT said:
Michigan has a real difficult 3-game stretch starting next weekend, according to that same piece. I’m incredulous they come out unscathed.
Click to expand...
Home the Wisconsin, at Michigan State, home vs PSU

However, Wisconsin has a home night game vs Nebraska the week before, then has to travel to play another night games. Michigan State will be coming off the Penn State game. PSU is @ Iowa the week before. So it's a tough stretch, but Michigan State will be beat up, Wisconsin will have a shorter week plus travel, and 2 of them are at home. Winning 2 of 3 shouldn't be that hard for where Michigan thought they were at the beginning of the season.
 
Games of note

Ranked games:
Texas vs Oklahoma - Go Longhorns? Probably best for Texas to win from Ohio State's perspective, but I am not sure

LSU at Florida - I think LSU is good not great and will lose to someone else besides Alabama. But the SEC East outside UGA is overrated, I think. But maybe not. This game might tell us. I think a Florida win is better for OSU, but don't really know why.

Notre Dame at Va Tech - HOW IS VIRGINIA TECH RANKED? THEY LOST TO ODU AND THEIR BEST WIN IS DUKE WHO'S QB HAD A BROKEN SHOULDER? Seriously, Iowa, Maryland and Indiana have better resumes so far than Va Tech. That said, probably better for OSU if Notre Dame loses. Unless you think ND is overrated and want a #2-#3 matchup of OSU vs ND.

Other games:
Iowa vs Minnesota - If Iowa wins and isn't ranked, I think Iowa should secede.

Maryland vs Michigan - I don't understand Maryland. Their win vs Texas is maybe the B1Gs best OOC win, and they killed Minnesota....and lost to Temple by 21. If Michigan is looking ahead, they could get bit. Or they might win by 50.

Clemson at Wake Forest - Wake was good enough to hang around with ND but also almost lost to Tulane. Clemson is all kinds of weird, so who knows. But obviously Go Deacons.

BC at NC St - If the rest of the ACC falls apart besides Miami, and BC is the 3rd best ACC team....good for OSU because Purdue blew out BC.

Arizona St at Colorado - Colorado is the lone P12 unbeaten.

Kentucky at Texas AM - Texas AM right now is Clemson's best win and maybe Alabama's best win. Lose this game and they might not be bowl eligible.
 
col63onel said:
Games of note

Ranked games:
Texas vs Oklahoma - Go Longhorns? Probably best for Texas to win from Ohio State's perspective, but I am not sure

LSU at Florida - I think LSU is good not great and will lose to someone else besides Alabama. But the SEC East outside UGA is overrated, I think. But maybe not. This game might tell us. I think a Florida win is better for OSU, but don't really know why.

Notre Dame at Va Tech - HOW IS VIRGINIA TECH RANKED? THEY LOST TO ODU AND THEIR BEST WIN IS DUKE WHO'S QB HAD A BROKEN SHOULDER? Seriously, Iowa, Maryland and Indiana have better resumes so far than Va Tech. That said, probably better for OSU if Notre Dame loses. Unless you think ND is overrated and want a #2-#3 matchup of OSU vs ND.

Other games:
Iowa vs Minnesota - If Iowa wins and isn't ranked, I think Iowa should secede.

Maryland vs Michigan - I don't understand Maryland. Their win vs Texas is maybe the B1Gs best OOC win, and they killed Minnesota....and lost to Temple by 21. If Michigan is looking ahead, they could get bit. Or they might win by 50.

Clemson at Wake Forest - Wake was good enough to hang around with ND but also almost lost to Tulane. Clemson is all kinds of weird, so who knows. But obviously Go Deacons.

BC at NC St - If the rest of the ACC falls apart besides Miami, and BC is the 3rd best ACC team....good for OSU because Purdue blew out BC.

Arizona St at Colorado - Colorado is the lone P12 unbeaten.

Kentucky at Texas AM - Texas AM right now is Clemson's best win and maybe Alabama's best win. Lose this game and they might not be bowl eligible.
Click to expand...

Another reason why wins vs ranked opponents is blurry as hell. VT has absolutely no business being a top 25 team but ND can tout that win to bolster their resume; they’ll be favored in every game they play at this point, right?

And for whatever reason I hope UK rocks AM.
 
I think an undefeated Notre Dame gets in over 1-loss/no conference title Georgia, right?
 
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