For fun, and because I have issues, last night I ran the Tankathon simulator 100 times. Here's what I got:
1(14% odds): 13 times
2(13.4%): 19 times
3(12.7%): 14 times
4(12%): 15 times
5(27.8%): 28 times
6(20.1%): 11 times
(As bleak as that looks, my 100 tries actually outperformed our actual odds off staying in the top3)
The bottom line for every single team/fanbase in the lottery is that if you're sights are set on just Zion or Ja or even Barrett, be very prepared to be disappointed and be very educated on who the next tier of prospects are. But also recognize that players like Steph, Klay, Kawhi, Giannis, Wade, Bosh, Dame, PG13, Jimmy Butler, McCollum, Jokic, Love, CP3, DeRozan, Cousins, Drummond, Porzingis, Booker, Kemba, and more were all taken outside of the top3, many in the 6-15 range. It is obviously FAR preferable to be in the top3 but to act like ELITE talent isn't found every year outside of it is a non-truth. Regardless, and more than ever, a lot of luck is required.