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2019 NBA Draft

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I don't give a shit if Sexton is on our roster or not, if Morant is available when we pick you take him.

He absolutely dominated the game last night against Marquette, and has been doing it all season. Phenomenal talent, tough kid, and a WINNER! Not to mention star potential.
 
Defensively our back court would be terrible having two small guards.

It would be but in today's NBA it works. I understand where you are coming from but the league has changed.
 
It would be but in today's NBA it works. I understand where you are coming from but the league has changed.

Where in today's NBA is there a backcourt as small as Sexton-Morant? Lillard-McCollum is the smallest one I can think of off the top of my head and they get gobbled up by larger backcourts in the playoffs every year.
 
Where in today's NBA is there a backcourt as small as Sexton-Morant? Lillard-McCollum is the smallest one I can think of off the top of my head and they get gobbled up by larger backcourts in the playoffs every year.
And this back court would be even smaller. It works offensively for sure, but you put your team at a huge disadvantage defensively.
 
I know we've talked about Culver's shot profile + projection but had the chance to take a look at Culver's shot in first half vs. Northern Kentucky..

After watching it closer, I tend to think his reduction in shot efficiency is a combination of increased offensive responsibility (+9% usg, +12% ast rate and +200 pts produced over last year) + some needed, small shot tweaks... It's not a bad or broken shot, just needs work..

View: https://twitter.com/preptopros/status/1109157439616749568


View: https://twitter.com/preptopros/status/1109157863602085888


View: https://twitter.com/preptopros/status/1109160791129931782
 
Zion’s handles are pretty rudimentary. He’s been stripped a few times facing guys up.

He’s also a toe walker
 
HoopsHype Aggregate 6.0

https://www.google.com/amp/s/hoopsh...ndre-hunter-cameron-johnson-jordan-nwora/amp/

I’m tracking this in my draft spread sheet

Biggest Risers:

+20 - Cam Johnson #27 overall
+19 - Miye Oni #53 overall
+17 - Jordan Poole #59 overall
+16 - Tyler Herro #25 overall
+13 - Matisse Thybulle #29 overall
+13 - Robert Franks #60 overall
+12 - Brian Bowen #55 overall
+11 - Coby White #8 overall

Notable Fallers:

-21 - Iggy Brazdeikis #67 overall
-14 - Louis King #63 overall
-12 - Ashtan Hagans #42 overall
-10 - Ayo Donsumnu #48 overall
-7 - Nassir Little #15 overall
-7 - Jalen McDaniels #32 overall
-6 - Luguentz Dort #34 overall
-6 - Grant Williams #38 overall
-4 - Romeo Langford #11 overall
-4 - Keldon Johnson #13 overall
 
For what reasons?

Ball dominant, poor off the ball, meh spotting up, high volume scorer, average defender.

RJ is basically not good at any given playstyle. He wants to be the star, but his efficiency doesn't warrant it. Not a great complementary piece to this team.

I also don't think his game is aesthetically pleasing.

A lot of underrated wings to have in the late 1st round like Johnson, Thybulle, Walker, etc. Tyler Herro even?
 
Somewhat baffled that Williams isn't a consensus top-10 guy. Obviously one of the best players, one of the best leaders, and one of the best 1-on-1 scorers in college basketball. Whether you're going for median outcome or ceiling, seems like he should be very close to the top. If anything I'd expect him to be overrated because normally pundits focus too much on clutch performances and top-10 teams when looking for elite prospects. But somehow, the opposite is happening.
 
Somewhat baffled that Williams isn't a consensus top-10 guy. Obviously one of the best players, one of the best leaders, and one of the best 1-on-1 scorers in college basketball. Whether you're going for median outcome or ceiling, seems like he should be very close to the top. If anything I'd expect him to be overrated because normally pundits focus too much on clutch performances and top-10 teams when looking for elite prospects. But somehow, the opposite is happening.

There's no questioning Williams production or improvement throughout his tenure at Tennessee..

What will keep him out of the lottery is his projection to the next level.. Ultimately the biggest question is where does he defend? I don't think he has the lateral quickness to consistently guard 3's and doesn't have the length to consistently guard 4's.. His character and BBIQ will help him overcome those and likely be a solid team defender but the individual matchup questions will still exist...

He can definitely be a productive player as a part of a 8-9 man rotation, but I'm not sure his ceiling is a starting level player which is why I'd be more comfortable with him in the late 1st then the late lottery...

I can't get the Ryan Gomes comparison out of my head, and I don't say that with any disrespect to either guy...
 
Somewhat baffled that Williams isn't a consensus top-10 guy. Obviously one of the best players, one of the best leaders, and one of the best 1-on-1 scorers in college basketball. Whether you're going for median outcome or ceiling, seems like he should be very close to the top. If anything I'd expect him to be overrated because normally pundits focus too much on clutch performances and top-10 teams when looking for elite prospects. But somehow, the opposite is happening.

Makes even less sense when considering where the aggregate ranks someone like PJ Washington.
 
There's no questioning Williams production or improvement throughout his tenure at Tennessee..

What will keep him out of the lottery is his projection to the next level.. Ultimately the biggest question is where does he defend? I don't think he has the lateral quickness to consistently guard 3's and doesn't have the length to consistently guard 4's.. His character and BBIQ will help him overcome those and likely be a solid team defender but the individual matchup questions will still exist...

He can definitely be a productive player as a part of a 8-9 man rotation, but I'm not sure his ceiling is a starting level player which is why I'd be more comfortable with him in the late 1st then the late lottery...

I can't get the Ryan Gomes comparison out of my head, and I don't say that with any disrespect to either guy...

I'm not old enough to remember Gomes as a prospect, but at least on paper, he was a complete non-presence as a shot blocker in college. Williams, while not elite, is certainly par for the course for a PF prospect with a career 2.1 blocks per 40 (vs. 0.5 for Gomes). I think he'll hold up fine there in the NBA. He's arguably the most impactful defensive player on his team at the college level, which I think is a good sanity check for projecting whether or not a guy will be at least average at the NBA level. Makes key plays too, including yesterday:

Burns, who had 35 points a week ago to give Colgate the conference championship, and then 32 points against Tennessee yesterday, splits the defenders in a bid to cut the deficit to 4:

D4g9w.jpg


Williams watches him, careful not to rotate too soon and give up the easy dump off:

D4gaL.jpg


He hops into position:

D4geq.jpg


Goes straight up to avoid any chance of committing a foul:

D4ggo.jpg


And spikes the ball straight to his teammate:

D4g3x.jpg


The point I'm making is that this isn't just a 6'7" guy masquerading as a big. He really knows what he's doing defensively, and he's strong and athletic enough to translate those fundamentals into real impact.

Makes even less sense when considering where the aggregate ranks someone like PJ Washington.

Yeah, nonsense, right? Hachimura is the big head scratcher to me. He's older than Williams, and worse in every way as far as I can tell. Even mainstream CBB pundits seem like they'd generally agree that Williams is the better player. But somehow Williams is supposed to stop developing yesterday, while Hachimura is expected to improve meteorically at the NBA level.
 
Fernando over Goga is another crazy one. Goga would've blocked that layup 9 times out of 10. Fernando wasn't even close. Bigger...better...younger...but somehow he's still languishing in the mid-late first of most mocks.
 
I certainly don't think Williams will be a liability on the defensive end but in a league that is moving toward individual matchups, I do think the question of who we guards and how well he can guard them one-on-one is a legitimate question.. Thinking about it further, considering his body type, taking a page out of PJ Tucker's notebook might not be a bad idea for Williams..

I like Williams and think he'll stick around because he doesn't need the ball to be productive and finds a way to contribute positively when on the floor, but the question exists of just how good he can be...

I'm actually a big Fernando fan, I just really like the way he plays, the space he takes up, how physical he is and his feel offensively, but realize he's not going to be everyone's taste because he is more of a center circa 10 years ago and not for today's game.. However, despite that, the athleticism is there that will play and he'll be a useful big if he's taken post-lottery...

Now if we're talking about modern day bigs, his frosh teammate Jalen Smith has a real chance to be the modern era 3&D big that teams will be all over.. He's got a really long, agile frame that looks like he can put some good solid mass on and not lose any of that agility... He had 5 blocks and 8 rebounds today to go along with a decent looking shot... If you liked Jaren Jackson Jr., I think Smith fits into that type of category..
 

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