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2023-24 Season | Game #19 | Trail Blazers @ Cavs | Nov. 30, 2023 | 7:00 p.m.

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Wham with the Right Hand

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After a day off at home the Cavaliers take on the 5-12 Portland Trail Blazers, who they beat in Portland two weeks ago by a 109-95 score. The Cavs were without Darius Garland while the Blazers were missing Malcolm Brogden. Both starting point guards are back so we may see more offense on both ends tonight.

The Blazers started 3-3 but have since lost 9 of 11. They are really in a tailspin at the moment, but they did upset 9-6 Indiana on the road two days ago so they are not to be taken lightly. The Blazers are pretty good defensively and held the Pacers, who lead the NBA in scoring, to 110 points, 13 under their average.

The Blazers are 14.1 points better with Brogden on the floor, so they will definitely be a better team than we saw two weeks ago. They are 11 points better offensively with Brogden running the offense.

That being said, the Blazers rank last in scoring at 104.8 ppg. As a team they are shooting just 43.4% overall and 32.4% on 3’s. The Cavs held them to 95 points in Portland, but with Brogdon out.

The Blazers rank 29th in both 3-point percentage and 2-point percentage. They don’t shoot the 3 that much (23rd). They’re a selfish bunch, ranking last in assists per possession. They also turn it over a ton, ranking 28th in turnovers per possession. Not much teamwork, a lot of turnovers, and poor shooting adds up to the lowest scoring team in the league.

The one thing they do well is offensive rebounding where they rank 8th. The Cavs need to take care of the defensive glass or they’ll give up a lot of second chance points. The Blazers average 12.1 offensive boards per game with C Deandre Ayton leading the way with 3.3.

The Blazers rank 12th in scoring defense, but I can’t figure out how. They’re 27th in points in the paint, last in fast break points allowed, 29th in opponents’ 3-point and 2-point percentage, and 28th in defensive rebound percentage. They suck at forcing missed shots and also suck at getting the rebound when they do force a miss. The one area they excel defensively is steals, where they rank 4th in steals per possession. They average nearly 9 steals per game. My guess is they gamble for steals knowing that’s their best chance to prevent a bucket.

In the first game Mitchell had 34 points and Mobley 21. Mitchell, Mobley, and Strus were all between +22 and +26 in that game. The Cavs shot 56% from the field but turned it over 17 times, so they only scored 109 points. They also shot only 30% from deep. However, they shot 73.3% on 2’s so their game plan should be obvious - attack the rim and only shoot uncontested 3’s. Ayton averages 32 minutes and their backup center is a 27-year-old rookie who is 6’9” and averages one block every five games. Jerami Grant is their starting “power” forward at 6’7”, 210. They don't have the size up front to defend the rim other than Ayton.

Grant is a good offensive player, averaging 23.4 points. He’s shooting 43% on 3’s so the Cavs need to crowd him on the perimeter. Brogdon is not shooting well (41% and 36%) but he’s an excellent passer. Their third leading scorer, SG Shaedon Sharpe at 16.6 ppg, is hitting just 39% overall and 32% from deep.

This should be an easy win for the Cavs at home against the league’s lowest scoring team. The Blazers rank 29th in defending 2-point shots and the Cavs made 73% of their 2’s last time, so take it to the hole fellas. The keys are to get the ball into the paint, avoid too many turnovers, and control the defensive glass.
 
Wade and Jerome keep being listed as "game time decision", suggesting they are either almost ready to go and maybe fully ready. But when this goes on for a week or more you really wonder. Jerome's high ankle sprain must be the worst of all time (going on five weeks), but the upside is we got a glimpse of Craig Porter Jr's potential.
 
I'd like to enjoy a bit of cpj Vs Sheadon two super great athletes
 
Wade and Jerome keep being listed as "game time decision", suggesting they are either almost ready to go and maybe fully ready. But when this goes on for a week or more you really wonder. Jerome's high ankle sprain must be the worst of all time (going on five weeks), but the upside is we got a glimpse of Craig Porter Jr's potential.
I wonder how much of what we’ve seen this year is the difference in having a deep bench? We seem to be holding guys out longer, for lesser injuries, than in years’ past.
 
tickets are DIRT cheap tonight....saw a pair going for $6 bucks total....I might have to go buy a pair for my wife and I
 
I neglected to mention that in addition to Malcolm Brogdon the Blazers also have rookie PG Scoot Henderson, who was injured in the first game. Here is VSiN's assessment:

Henderson was a lethal transition scorer in his time with the G-League Ignite. His game is reminiscent of Russell Westbrook in his prime, and Henderson should push this Trail Blazers team to take advantage of its skills in transition this season....

If this team can run with more frequency, it should be able to mask some of the halfcourt issues that are sure to come with a rookie point guard. Even then, this halfcourt offense should be much better with a guard like Henderson who can drive and dish to shooters.

Henderson is 19 years old, 6'3", 202 pounds. He's played in eight games and shot 35.4% from the field and 22.6% on 3's, so his offensive game is still transitioning from the G League to the NBA. He's averaging 4 assists and 3 turnovers in 26 minutes.
 
Sounds like we have a sure win tonight, so we can't take these guys lightly. Just with Brogdon back, lets give the Blazers 106. We'll score 121.

That's assuming we play as well as we did in the last game against Atlanta. Let's count the points: Mitchell 35, Garland 20, Mobley 18, Allen 15, Strus 15. That gets us to 103. Our bench will need to score 18. Should be easy: LeVert 12, Niang 10, Okoro 6, Porter 2. That gives us 30 for a total of 133. I'll knock it down to 121, thinking someone will have an off night shooting.

I also assume our defense will be good as last game. We'll see. Playing at home helps; our guys have more energy.
 
Nope. Could be but not in the works.

Are they just waiting for the ankle to be fully healed at this point? I do think Dean is our 2nd best all around defender ahead of Okoro.
 
Are they just waiting for the ankle to be fully healed at this point? I do think Dean is our 2nd best all around defender ahead of Okoro.

I guess so. After playing 4 straight games on a sprained ankle… they now want to be careful…..just can’t make this stuff up…. smh
 
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Sounds like we have a sure win tonight, so we can't take these guys lightly. Just with Brogdon back, lets give the Blazers 106. We'll score 121.

That's assuming we play as well as we did in the last game against Atlanta. Let's count the points: Mitchell 35, Garland 20, Mobley 18, Allen 15, Strus 15. That gets us to 103. Our bench will need to score 18. Should be easy: LeVert 12, Niang 10, Okoro 6, Porter 2. That gives us 30 for a total of 133. I'll knock it down to 121, thinking someone will have an off night shooting.

I also assume our defense will be good as last game. We'll see. Playing at home helps; our guys have more energy.
Agreed. Will we treat Portland with the same intensity as we did Atlanta in an IST elimination game? No, but seeing those results I don't think they'll sleepwalk into this one either. Gotta blow the doors off a team when you can.
 

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