Hey everyone, let's ignore all the noisy rumors (Jabari Parker is fat, Joel Embiid's career is over,
Andrew Wiggins is not gay , etc.)
NOW It's time for STATS
But stats are boring!
No...stats are awesome
Often overlooked is
Total Points divided by
Minutes Played. That will give you a good idea of how much the player's game is about "getting buckets" or better yet, it's a fuzzy forumula for Offenzive Efeencienzy
***6'3"PG***
Irving college: .634
Irving '13-'14: .591
Derron Williams '09-'10: .505
***6'8"-6'9" SF***
Derrick Williams college: .649
Derrick Williams '12-'13: .486
Kevin Durant college: .719
Kevin Durant '13-'14: .831
LBJ sophomore: .641
LBJ '13-'14: .719
***PF Garbage Men***
TT college: .426
TT '13-'14: .371
Peak Udonis Haslem: .325
***Massive Center***
Hibbert college 4th year: .507
Hibbert '13-'14: .362
Yao Ming (freshman): .463
Yao Ming '04-'05: .599
Now, let's look at the draft prospects
Andrew Wiggins: .520
Jabari Parker: .624
Joel Embiid: .484
Jabari Parker is clearly the most offensively talented prospect but is also the least effective defender.
Embiid isn't too far behind in Wiggins as an offensive player, but is a better defensive presence... bc he real big.
Defensive players can afford to have lower numbers because they essentially subtract opponents Off. Eff. by blocking shots, altering shots, steals, etc.
Another stat to consider is what % of their total points come from free throws? This will tell you what kind of "special treatment" these young athletes are receiving by the officials... or how good are they at drawing fouls due to their athleticism and BBIQ. It's your call.
Andrew Wiggins: 29.5% points come from free throws
Jabari Parker: 23.9%
Joel Embiid: 45.7%
Derrick Williams: 33.3%
It's true these percentages will go down at the professional level...probably by 10% or more. It happened to Derrick Williams, and pretty much every rookie ever. Dion Waiters numbers went down 7-9%. Almost no rookies get to the line at the same rate as they did in college, period.
So after taking a good hard look at Off. Eff. we can eye test defensive potential...crazy predictions incoming!
In 3-4 years:
Wiggins will be good on the wing
Embiid will protect the rim/paint very well
Parker will be mediocre
Finally, we can look at shot locations and combine it all together and start to get an idea of what NBA player they might look like...
Wiggins = Rich man's Nic Batum
Embiid = Far better than Roy Hibbert
Parker = Paul Pierce with more rebounding
Lets look at FIT for the CAVS (Griffin has been talking about fit and "there's this one guy")
The Cavs are currently middle of the pack (16th) for total points allowed.
The Cavs are currently 5th for points allowed in the paint.
There is room here to go up!
At this point, I'm extremely confident the Cavs will select Joel Embiid with the #1 pick (Yao Ming was also #1)
These proposed trades that the Cavs are flirting around with aren't for Parker or Wiggins, these teams are trying to get Embiid and his insane rookie contract.
If you are going to get a player that plays better than Hibbert (read: 15 million dollars) at an average of 6.7 million a year for 5 years, that's just great value.