I'll say this. Every single one of our first round picks from other teams we have recently gotten (Falcons, Colts, Bills) have all been much higher than everyone insisted on. It was before I was posting on here, but I read on the OBR every single day about how the Colts would fall apart and their negative point differential the prior year when they went 11-5 was proof positive they are overachievers. The Bills were the worst though. Everyone was convinced they were a top 5 pick waiting to happen and to be fair they looked like it. Then they overachieved with asshole Orton and we got Erving out of it...
Just saying don't test the Browns horrendous luck. It usually comes out full force on these things.