Lottery odds flatten out a lot next year compared to the past 28 years.
Big changes:
- 4 teams can win the lottery now instead of three. That means teams can drop up to 4 spots in the lottery instead of just 3.
- The lottery odds for the 3 worst teams are now all the same. No race to be the worst of the worst.
- The odds of winning a top 4 pick at the 7th seed is 32%, which is the same ball park as the worst 3 (52% chance at a top 4 pick)
- The odds of winning a top 4 pick don't significantly drop off until the 11th seed.
Pretty much no need to tank any worse than what's going to happen naturally.
Boston potential has two lottery picks in next year's draft in addition to their own pick. (Kings top 1 protected, Grizzlies top 8 protected )
Cavs need to get one of those picks.