dark2332
Yeah, I’m thinking I’m back.
- Joined
- Jul 3, 2012
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Exactly. It has nothing to do with track-record when compared to the odds.His overall point was right though
The chances of a day 3 WR being good are about the same as flipping a coin and having it land on heads 10 times in a row.
Finding a star skill-position player in rounds 5-7 is lucky. Sometimes teams do get lucky. Having strong talent evaluation is one factor--but even still, if they knew a guy was going to develop into a star, they'd have taken him far before the 5th to 7th round themselves.
Hypothetically, it's like giving me credit when my 15th round pick in the Fantasy Draft ends up being my leading point getter. Sure, I based it on upside and hoped he'd get a role as the season progressed. Sure, I liked traits in him. However, if I knew what he was going to be, I'd have taken him far earlier.