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2015 Free Agency (Cavs Centric)

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I was under the impression that a player option can be in any year. I could be wrong, but that's what I've read.

Yes, I suppose that is right, I think the tendency though is to put the option in the last year of the contract so that the player can get an extension if the situation calls for it.

In Love's case, regardless, I think he'll sign the exact same deal LeBron did this past offseason. This also gives Love tremendous leverage in the front-office, not just this summer, but throughout the next season.

For this reason, I highly doubt we'll see him camped out on the three point arc, or in the corner, any longer.
 
I don't see TT as a max guy. A fair deal in my estimation would be something like 4 years 46 million.

10,11,12 and then 13 year 4. He's a garbage man role player, albeit a talented one.

Max guys can usually score the ball or they are DPOY candidates. I can't see a shitty team that has cap space offering the max and good teams won't offer that much.
 
I don't see TT as a max guy. A fair deal in my estimation would be something like 4 years 46 million.

10,11,12 and then 13 year 4. He's a garbage man role player, albeit a talented one.

He was already reported to have been offered more and turned it down (54/4). That's 13.5/yr average. Your deal here is $11.5 avg.

That's not happening for a multitude of reasons.

I can't see a shitty team that has cap space offering the max and good teams won't offer that much.

Shitty teams with cap space will offer whatever they can to use their cap space. Teams aren't encouraged (in fact, they are discouraged) to hold on to empty cap during the season. So they'll apportion those dollars to whomever they feel they can realistically get to sign an offer-sheet. Thompson will get offers.

Remember, cap space is a commodity that is decreasing in dollar value each year. Each cap dollar today will diminish in value by ~53.5% in just 2 years! We are approaching an unprecedented period where the NBA cap will hit nine figures.

So yes, teams with cap space today will look to ink long-term high/max deals with marginal players because while those deals are bad this year and even next year, by 2017 they'll be not only reasonable, but very good tradeable assets.

The only reason Cleveland shouldn't be involved in this is because of our already maxed and over the apron tax situation; as well as our narrow window of victory.
As Daryl Morey has famously said, (paraphrasing) "even if you have a 5% chance at a championship, you need to do everything to maximize that 5% chance."

Trading our young assets now, if it can bring in proven two-way talent, should be an option on the table.
 
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I have a hard time believing TT turned down even 4/48. It's not my check book, but I'd want someone who can get their own shot if I'm paying them 14-15 million per year.
 
I've stated before that I pretty much believe that almost every body will be back.

I see us adding 2-4 guys via our draft pick, the taxpayer MLE, and the Haywood contract.

For FA, guys I'd be ok with us pursuing:
C: Seraphin, Koufus
Wing: Al-Farouq Aminu,
PG: Patrick Beverly, Norris Cole, Corey Joseph

My profile for potential FA's are all guys who who are under 28, are relatively athletic, are known as above average defenders, played on playoff teams this year or last and may also have some connections that make Cleveland desirable for them.

-Seraphin is repped by Rich Paul.

-Norris Cole is repped by Rich Paul, has played with LeBron, was a trade target in Feb, and played in Cleveland in college

-Koufus is repped by Mark Termini(who is from Cleveland and works with Rich Paul) and went to college in NE Ohio

-Corey Joseph is repped by Rich Paul and went to college with fellow Canadian Tristan Thompson

-Beverley is repped by Bill Duffy who also reps Delly. That could actually work against us unless both players and the agent are satisfied that there are enough minutes to go around.

-Aminu has no specific cleveland connection, but is a player who I think could be had for that taxpayer MLE and is a tough defender and guy who can run on the break and rebound well for his position.

As for the Haywood contract, its been mentioned already several times but if Gilbert really has no limits to his spending for a few years, Tiago Splitter makes so much sense for both teams.
 
He was already reported to have been offered more and turned it down (54/4). That's 13.5/yr average. Your deal here is $11.5 avg.

That's not happening for a multitude of reasons.



Shitty teams with cap space will offer whatever they can to use their cap space. Teams aren't encouraged (in fact, they are discouraged) to hold on to empty cap during the season. So they'll apportion those dollars to whomever they feel they can realistically get to sign an offer-sheet. Thompson will get offers.

Remember, cap space is a commodity that is decreasing in dollar value each year. Each cap dollar today will diminish in value by ~53.5% in just 2 years! We are approaching an unprecedented period where the NBA cap will hit nine figures.

So yes, teams with cap space today will look to ink long-term high/max deals with marginal players because while those deals are bad this year and even next year, by 2017 they'll be not only reasonable, but very good tradeable assets.

The only reason Cleveland shouldn't be involved in this is because of our already maxed and over the apron tax situation; as well as our narrow window of victory.
As Daryl Morey has famously said, (paraphrasing) "even if you have a 5% chance at a championship, you need to do everything to maximize that 5% chance."

Trading our young assets now, if it can bring in proven two-way talent, should be an option on the table.

It's just a matter of dueling opinions here, but I just have a hard time seeing another team invest not only 14-15 million in cap space to Tristan but also trade out a talented player and/or picks to acquire him.

I think TT has that value to us and that value to a team that could outright absorb him into their cap without having to trade worthwhile assets/players out in return.

But I'll grant you, it only takes one team, so its in the realm of possibility.
 
It's just a matter of dueling opinions here, but I just have a hard time seeing another team invest not only 14-15 million in cap space to Tristan but also trade out a talented player and/or picks to acquire him.

I agree, I don't see many teams willing to do the bolded. This certainly is not my view. However there are teams where talent will be leaving in free agency, will become too expensive, or teams looking to rebuild and have veterans wanting out.

If you're referring to Portland with Aldridge; well, they wouldn't have a choice in the matter, and that would be one such situation where we would be trading Thompson+ and potentially receiving a better player in return.

I think TT has that value to us and that value to a team that could outright absorb him into their cap without having to trade worthwhile assets/players out in return.

I disagree with the bolded, agree with everything else.

I don't think TT has that value to us most specifically. But that's a fairly complex argument left for another thread.

But I'll grant you, it only takes one team, so its in the realm of possibility.

Definitely.

All I ask is that we explore it. It's far from certain that we could make any potential deal work.
 
If you're referring to Portland with Aldridge; well, they wouldn't have a choice in the matter, and that would be one such situation where we would be trading Thompson+ and potentially receiving a better player in return.

But it is almost a 99% certainty that we will be above the luxury tax apron both before and after executing a trade for Aldridge, meaning we can't do it.

Teams over the apron can S&T their own players out, but can not be on the receiving end of a player via S&T. So Aldridge and any 2015 player who makes it to FA is a non option as far as a trade.

In your desired scenario of exploring options to trade TT, we'd have to be looking at players already under contract.
 
But it is almost a 99% certainty that we will be above the luxury tax apron both before and after executing a trade for Aldridge, meaning we can't do it.

That's not true. I've run the numbers and there's several ways we can get below the apron.

Cavs have an $89M cap hold excluding Haywood's contract going into the offseason, that's only $4M over the apron.

We need to trade into a position lower than $85M which is very doable.

Teams over the apron can S&T their own players out, but can not be on the receiving end of a player via S&T. So Aldridge and any 2015 player who makes it to FA is a non option as far as a trade.

In all of the trade scenarios I posted in the LMA thread, we end up below the apron.

In your desired scenario of exploring options to trade TT, we'd have to be looking at players already under contract.

Again, my intention is for the Cavs to end up below the apron, or trade into a lower net salary hold (which is allowed under the CBA, AFAIK).
 
You built some scenarios for getting Aldridge using Haywood and other pieces. Did no see any specific ones utilizing Tristan.

You also tried trading Andy to Portland. With his injury history, age, and contract, there's no way they want him now. Maybe in two years a team will value his ungaraunteed last year of the extension but finding a taker for him now?

You also made mention of using the stretch provision on him. I know it bothers you to operate in the "please LeBron" mindset, but its a reality and stretching Andy is just not going to happen for that reason. And eventual retirement or buyout down the road, maybe.

The other thing is this, once you execute a S&T to receive a player, you can not go over the apron that year. The use of a S&T by a team over the salary cap locks them into having to have a hard cap set at the tax apron. So once you do that, trading out multiple guys, possibly stretching Andy, decreasing team depth, you're locked in to that 89 million for the year.

Now, as to building a trade for Aldridge using Tristan, there's where it gets extra tricky. Because say you do Tristan and one of JR/Shump/or Moz to get Aldridge and stay under 89, what do you do with Haywood? Because Haywood counts as 10 million until we cut or trade him. But if we get Aldridge via a S&T in order to be at 89 million or below upon completion of the trade, we would have already had to just cut Haywood for nothing. The allure of Haywood for other teams is to send out a deal they no longer want on their books to then lower their salary cap number by waiving Haywood AND also not have to pay him. But since we'd be trying to execute a S&T, we'd be severely limited in what salary(if any) we could take back for him.

I continue to acknowledge the truth that if you solely look at things from a contractual basis, there are ways to manuever and execute an incoming S&T for the Cavs, but not without severe ramifications on depth, chemistry, roster balance, and flexibility to add/replace lost depth.

Those are the very things that LeBron, Blatt, and Griffin are most likely to be preaching heading into year 2.
 
You built some scenarios for getting Aldridge using Haywood and other pieces. Did no see any specific ones utilizing Tristan.

My point in that thread was a proof of concept; the feasibility of acquiring LaMarcus Aldridge in a sign-and-trade.

The reason for this is simple. If it cannot be done, then it simply isn't worth talking about. However, if it can be done, by some combination of moves, then, it surely is worth talking about; especially if the Big 3 can be retained.

Trading Tristan is not the important aspect in this regard; what is important is ending up below the apron.

To do so would likely require moving Anderson Varejao, Brendan Haywood, Tristan Thompson, and likely another piece (Mike Miller, Shump, Mozgov).

You also tried trading Andy to Portland. With his injury history, age, and contract, there's no way they want him now. Maybe in two years a team will value his ungaraunteed last year of the extension but finding a taker for him now?

If you mean as part of the thought experiment, then of course; because again, my point there, which I stated explicitly, was to demonstrate that it is surely possible for the Cavaliers to sign-and-trade LMA - which it is.

I stated several alternatives, including (1) trading Varejao and another team waiving him. Obviously they would only do this if we included cash and picks. And (2) simply using the stretch provision on him and waiving him - a far more likely scenario.

Both situations work out with the Cavs being able to reduce salary.

He could also simply retire.

You also made mention of using the stretch provision on him.

Yes.

I know it bothers you to operate in the "please LeBron" mindset, but its a reality and stretching Andy is just not going to happen for that reason. And eventual retirement or buyout down the road, maybe.

Again, I'm not really buying this though.

I don't think LeBron would be so foolish as to force the Cavaliers to carry a $10M dead contract in the last years of his prime.

Sorry, but I can't believe that without hearing it from him.

Speculation in this regard stretches my belief to the point of breaking. So yeah, I do think LeBron would be open to trading/waiving Andy.

The other thing is this, once you execute a S&T to receive a player, you can not go over the apron that year.

Yes, I know.

The use of a S&T by a team over the salary cap locks them into having to have a hard cap set at the tax apron. So once you do that, trading out multiple guys, possibly stretching Andy, decreasing team depth, you're locked in to that 89 million for the year.

It's a bit more complicated than this, and it depends on the dates the trades are approved by the NBA.

I am pretty sure, however, that in general, Cleveland and Portland could agree to the framework of a deal, but would not officially complete that deal until Cleveland had enough time to add assets to it's roster moving forward.

Suffice it to say, I think we're getting overly bogged down in minutia rather than focusing on the fact that Cleveland can sign-and-trade for LaMarcus Aldridge (or any other player for that matter). That really was my point.

Now, as to building a trade for Aldridge using Tristan, there's where it gets extra tricky. Because say you do Tristan and one of JR/Shump/or Moz to get Aldridge and stay under 89, what do you do with Haywood?

MirO, Haywood would've been traded to Portland in that deal as part of the payoff. This part is the least complicated.

Because Haywood counts as 10 million until we cut or trade him. But if we get Aldridge via a S&T in order to be at 89 million or below upon completion of the trade, we would have already had to just cut Haywood for nothing. The allure of Haywood for other teams is to send out a deal they no longer want on their books to then lower their salary cap number by waiving Haywood AND also not have to pay him. But since we'd be trying to execute a S&T, we'd be severely limited in what salary(if any) we could take back for him.

I'm not sure exactly what you mean by this, but the answer is pretty clear.

We don't have to waive Haywood prior to a deal, we can trade him either to Portland or in a 3-team trade sending picks to Portland. I'm not sure why you'd think we'd need to cut him first, since you count salary post-trade not pre-trade.

Again, the only stipulation on Cleveland would be that it ended up below $85M in salary after the trade, not before it.

I continue to acknowledge the truth that if you solely look at things from a contractual basis, there are ways to manuever and execute an incoming S&T for the Cavs, but not without severe ramifications on depth, chemistry, roster balance, and flexibility to add/replace lost depth.

I agree we lose depth. I disagree that we lose "balance."

I do agree that we lose flexibility.

So we agree on 2 out of 3 of your points. However, assuming we were to have kept Mozgov, a front court of Love/Aldridge/Mozgov/? would be a very interesting rotation to say the least.

Those are the very things that LeBron, Blatt, and Griffin are most likely to be preaching heading into year 2.

I disagree. I think if James and Griffin thought they could get LMA to willingly play center for more than half his minutes then they'd go for it.

I mean, frankly, we'll see... I doubt it happens, but if I were Griffin or James, I'd try to make this move.
 
I'm pretty sure the stretch provision can no longer be used.
 
What about Tyson Chandler chasing another ring at the end of his career? I'm not sure what exceptions we will have available next year, and I'm positive there will be other teams willing to give him more, but he's older now and he might not still be looking for the biggest contract possible and we desperately need another big (there is no way anyone can count on Varejao being healthy).
 
I don't think LeBron would be so foolish as to force the Cavaliers to carry a $10M dead contract in the last years of his prime.

Sorry, but I can't believe that without hearing it from him.

Speculation in this regard stretches my belief to the point of breaking. So yeah, I do think LeBron would be open to trading/waiving Andy.

LeBron got pissed at Miami for getting rid of Miller's more or less dead body, so yeah, I don't think he would take kindly to just getting rid of Andy until he has definitively proven that he can't play.

I think one of the biggest things Gilbert told LeBron to persuade him to return was that he would spare no expense to win a title. Getting finicky about money one year in would not be wise.
 
What about Tyson Chandler chasing another ring at the end of his career? I'm not sure what exceptions we will have available next year, and I'm positive there will be other teams willing to give him more, but he's older now and he might not still be looking for the biggest contract possible and we desperately need another big (there is no way anyone can count on Varejao being healthy).

I would love to have Chandler, but as you said there will most likely be good teams, including Dallas, that would be willing to give him more money. If we were going to go that route, as far as that type of player, I'd rather just take Upshaw with our pick in the draft.

I think it's more likely that they try to get another big that can space the floor, since we lost that ability as soon as Love went down. At least that's the kind of big I would like to see them go after.

As I've said before, Channing Frye comes to mind as a perfect target, since he can hit threes, has a relationship with Griffin from his Phoenix days, is locked into a contract that de-escalates over the next three years, and is a guy that Orlando might just be happy to have off their books after a poor start to his deal (making him a perfect target for the Haywood contract).
 

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