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2023-24 Season | Game #43 | Cavs @ Bucks | Jan. 26, 2024 | 8:00 p.m.

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Wham with the Right Hand

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The Cavs and Bucks square off for a rematch of Wednesday’s game; same time, same place. I think these back-to-backs with a day in between are great because both teams can watch the film and have a practice to try and correct problems or add something to exploit the opponents’ weakness. It’s just like the playoffs, only two games instead of a full series.

So what do the Cavs need to do after losing 126-116 on Wednesday?

We just have to protect the paint. They just went by us the whole night. We let them do what they wanted to do. - Max Strus

The Bucks were averaging 124.6 points coming in and scored 126 against the league’s best scoring defense the last few weeks. Over the last 10 games (not counting the 40-point win over the Bucks last week where Giannis was out), the Cavs were holding opponents to 11 points UNDER their scoring averages. The Bucks were right on their average against the Cavs. Strus is right - the defense needs to be better.

To be fair, however, the Bucks made some very difficult shots with hands right in their faces. Lillard’s drifting 3-pointer with two guys in his grill and one second left in the 3rd quarter is a great example.

The Cavs also came up short offensively. The Bucks are allowing 120.5 ppg, which is sixth worst in the Association. The Cavs managed just 116 points. Mitchell was 2-for-11 on 3’s and Jarrett Allen missed nine shots, most of which he usually makes. The 23 missed shots by Allen and Mitchell resulted in a sub-par night for the Cavs offensively.

It looked to me like Allen was rushing his shots, especially early, as he started 0-for-4. He scored 30 points against the Bucks in December, going 15-for-17, and he was 9-for-15 last week. He may have been a little tight on Wednesday.

In the two games Mitchell has played against the Bucks this year with Giannis on the floor he is 4-for-21 on 3-point attempts and 20-for-26 on 2-point attempts. I’d like to see him lay off the 3’s and get into the paint where he’s been deadly with the floater, layups, and pull-up jumper from the elbows. If he doesn’t have a good shot he can always kick it out to Wade, Merrill, or Niang, all of whom have been on fire from the 3-point line.

Tonight the Cavs need to get out to a better start. They fell behind by 21 points on Wednesday. It’s almost impossible to beat an elite team like the Bucks on their home floor when you’re that far down.

The Cavs impressively cut the lead from 21 points to 6 with 3:44 left. They had momentum and were in position to pull off an upset. Then the Bucks put the hammer down, pushing the lead from 6 to 15 points in the next 2:21 to drive the final nail in the coffin. Once the Cavs threatened to steal the game the Bucks took a timeout, got their shit together, and came out and squashed the Cavs like a bug.

As Chris Fedor said in his post-game podcast, there is a “perceivable gap” between these teams. The Cavs are good enough to keep it close, but can they beat the Bucks on the road? Not yet.

To beat this team the Cavs need to come out fast, build a lead with their bench, and hang on. If the game is close at the end you know Giannis, Lillard, and Middleton will take over like they did Wednesday.

The Cavs need to foul less than they did Wednesday as the Bucks outscored them 25 to 11 on free throws in a 10-point loss. The Cavs were way too “handsy” and the refs called a foul anytime a Bucks player was touched. The Bucks rank 3rd in free throw attempts per play. These grizzled vets have honed their foul drawing skills over the years and are outstanding at it, plus their reputations help them with the refs, who always give them the close ones.

It's fresh on our minds. The film won't lie about what happened, we'll get prepared tomorrow and bring it over into next game. - Jarrett Allen

It will be interesting to see what changes the Cavs make and how effective (or not) they will be. If Strus is correct it all starts with protecting the paint, but they can’t leave open shooters on the perimeter because the Bucks rank 6th in 3-point percentage. The Cavs could have won Wednesday’s game even allowing 126 points. They just needed Allen to make three of those eight or nine missed shots he usually makes and for Mitchell to hit a couple of the nine 3’s he clanked.
 
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After Wednesday's game the Bucks talked about the importance of starting fast and playing physical against the Cavs.

When Cleveland starts games, they start really, really hard, really fast and they move the ball, attack you, shoot 3s. They did it in Cleveland. They did it in the first game. They did it against Orlando. That’s what they do. Once they feel like you are tiptoeing to the game, they take advantage of that. I feel like everybody’s urgency was up. - Giannis

We were physical, and we were much sharper than we had been in the last game. Anytime you make guys work getting from A to B, it’s not comfortable. And then on the offensive end, we are moving the ball, we are screening with good pace. It’s not going to be as comfortable for the other team, and that’s something I thought we did much better tonight. - Damian Lillard
 
Not sure why, when they've beaten us both times Giannis has played, but I like our chances tonight. It feels like we are due to make some shots and I think last game was a statement game for them. It will be hard for them to come out with the same intensity as they had Wednesday after running off their coach and looking for some revenge after we drubbed them by 40 just prior. I think they will be a little less sharp. And I think we will be a little better.
 
Not sure why, when they've beaten us both times Giannis has played, but I like our chances tonight. It feels like we are due to make some shots and I think last game was a statement game for them. It will be hard for them to come out with the same intensity as they had Wednesday after running off their coach and looking for some revenge after we drubbed them by 40 just prior. I think they will be a little less sharp. And I think we will be a little better.
It looked to me like the Cavs were a little tight at the start of the game. Allen missed his first four shots and they were not difficult shots. Mitchell was 2-for-11 on 3's.

I think they will be more relaxed tonight and make some of those easy shots they missed on Wednesday, including the floaters in the lane, the layups, and the uncontested 3's. I also think Milwaukee won't have two games in a row where they make multiple 3's with a defender right in their grill. And I think the Cavs will do a better job of not allowing Giannis to go right down the lane for uncontested dunks.

The Bucks were jacked up on Wednesday and the Cavs came out tight. Tonight should be more like a normal regular season game.
 
This is a playoff atmosphere. The Bucks could recently dial back the last loss to the Cavs and they came out mentally ready. Now, it's the Cavs turn. I credit the NBA schedule makers for bunching some of these matchups during the regular season. At first it felt lazy, now I like it.

I also agree the key to the game is Jarrett Allen. Brook Lopez is one of the game's best help defenders, but he has never been strong on-ball against a quality offensive center. Make him work to make the game easier.
 
Swear if we lose again i'm going in on JBB again even though I no longer wish to.
The Cavs are on the road against a team that is 20-4 at home. The Cavs are down two starters and their backup center. If they lose this game it's no big deal. If they win it's a huge positive. The only way they can lose is to get blown out, or blow a big lead late. That's how I see it anyway.

If this game was in Cleveland and the Cavs had their entire roster available while the Bucks were missing their starting point guard and center (Lillard and Lopez), we'd be the overwelming favorites and I doubt Bucks fans would be expecting a win.
 
Key point to today's matchup is officiating. If the refs allow a defender to absorb contact within their cylinder then Cavs should be able to keep giannis out of the paint and dame off the line. Last game Cavs missed a few bunnies early on which if they make quiets the crowd and keeps it close
 
Cavs were leaving Allen on an island with Giannis in the last game. Cavs need to be better about giving help and Allen needs to be better about making the drive difficult. Even if it means taking a step back to give him the 15-18 footer.
 

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