I actually agree with this -- it's the biggest reason I'm okay with starting Tyrod even if Mayfield looks to be just as good/better. But I also don't think that's enough of a reason for him to be the starter for the
entire season.
I do want to say that I am very much on the side of
@CBBI when it comes to Manziel being a 5 year guy with 43 career starts. That really matters, especially in an age when so many QB's are coming out of college with much less experience. I'm also sufficiently impressed by Mayfield's personality/demeanor (and experience) that I don't see him as the kind of guy to lose confidence if he hits adversity.
I agree that losing can be contagious. But three points:
1) I have yet to see a team have that kind of defeatist attitude carry over from one
season to the next, though it can carry over from one
game to the next within a season. Guys usually come out of camp all optimistic (especially going undefeated in the preseason). What drags them down is when they start to rack up losses within a season. That's what builds the defeatest mentality for that season. Now, maybe a long-term losing pattern may make you fall back into that more easily in subsequent seasons, but I still think most guys at least
start the season thinking "this time it is going to be different."
2) I don't think that mentality is hard to reverse -- all it takes is a win for guys to start believing. We've seen that here plenty of times. So, I don't think reversing that "losing culture" is a giant hurdle. Just win a fucking football game, which I think we are good enough to do.
3) I'm
not advocating playing Mayfield just to give him experience. I don't think you start to have that discussion until you think he can go into a game and give you as much or more than Tyrod. In other words, until you believe that he gives you at least as good a chance to
win, and so move up the ladder of building a winning culture.
That being said, I still think you start Tyrod anyway, at least for a few games. If we go 0-3, the team is starting to look demoralized and the coaches think Mayfield is ready, then make a move.