Sir John
Expert Swordsman
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- Jul 3, 2009
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If he is reasonably healthy and has 2 good years here, does anyone really think Chris Grant would be willing to commit the kind of long term dollars it would take to keep Bynum?
I just don't see it given his injury history.
Bynum would likely command a near max deal over 4 years if he plays well and often (65+ games a season) here, and some team would be stupid enough to give it to him.
He is on a non-guaranteed deal right now so he will be on his best behavior and likely play through some knee pain. Put $60+ million guaranteed in his pocket, and I would be highly concerned that he doesn't have quite that same level of desire to play through pain and stay in great shape.
I said elsewhere, I love the Bynum signing for these 2 years as it was low risk and we had nothing else to spend the cap space on. No harm no foul.
Going forward, with all the extensions that Grant will need to hand out I just don't see him ever being willing to guarantee Bynum the kind of money he would want if he rehabilitates his career here and hits free agency.
I hope he plays like a stud the next 2 years, but past that he is not a guy that can be trusted to keep it together if he gets a massive payday where he's not playing for a contract anymore.
Certainly there's some solid logic to this. One could even argue that is this the second most likely scenario (the first being that he never gets it together physically in the first place).
And yet...two years from now is quite a lot of time. Ultimately, this is a string of guesses and conjectures. So many moving pieces and variables, the realest, most honest assessment is: who can really say?
Bynum could play okay but not at a max level -- and everyone even him sees it that way. He could decide that he's willing to pay for a semi-discount cause he loves Cleveland so much, or other teams interesting to him could be massively capped out that year, or he plays so well and with such great health and that the new knee procedure he did last spring is a miracle cure and that a max deal for a 28 year old top tier center is the best thing that ever happened to the Cavs and they jump at the chance and then win three straight titles.
Too early to sweat it, I think.