Scrote Squad
All-Star
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- Feb 11, 2009
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Time to worry about Ramirez? He has been awful dating back to the end of August last year.
Time to worry about Ramirez? He has been awful dating back to the end of August last year.
BB% is more than 3 times lower than last season (which was admittedly absurdly high and was unlikely to be repeated), infield hit percentage and percentage of hits classified as soft are both way up from career highs. Pull percentage is at 20% down from 50%I wouldn’t. Most numbers point to him being extremely unlucky.
BB% is more than 3 times lower than last season (which was admittedly absurdly high and was unlikely to be repeated), infield hit percentage and percentage of hits classified as soft are both way up from career highs. Pull percentage is at 20% down from 50%
He’s got a low BABIP but 31.4% of those balls in play were soft contact so I wouldn’t really call it all unlucky. He’s making worse contact with the ball, he’s not drawing walks, and he’s not pulling the ball
It’s not all luck
That said, I don’t care about a 42 at bat sample size with a lot of this. But in those 42 at bats attributing it mostly to luck I don’t agree with. And I care more about this because of the freezing cold finish to last season.
Seattle ain’t gonna be selling anytime soon...
The fuck is up with that team?
Where are you getting your data?His soft contact% may be up, but so is his hard contact%, line drive rate, and groundball rate. All of those factors point to an increase in BABIP, not one under .200
Where are you getting your data?
Fangraphs has line drive % down from 20.7 to 17.6 and groundball rate down from 33.4 to 32.4
Hard hit % is up from 36.1 to 37.1, but that change is much less than the soft hit % which jumped from 18.3 to 31.4%
What's his stats since August of last year?My bad on the LD% and GB%, my eyes got crossed up and looked at the wrong rows.
Still, I'm not saying he's playing well enough to be an MVP candidate, but he's at least swinging well enough to be hitting in the .260-.280 range if not for an absurdly low BABIP.
That's what I mean when I say it's mostly luck. He should at least be posting ok numbers if not for bad luck.
What's his stats since August of last year?
I wrote this a week ago and I'm doubling down on this. Jose Ramirez is not going to be a good hitter again. He won't ever come close to the MVP level seasons he had. The last two and a half months of last season he didn't good at all, and he's off to an awful start this year. He looks lost at the plate, swinging at junk. Also as I said, he's not some huge big and strong guy where he's always going to be able to smash the ball. He's a 5'9 guy who was only projected to be a utility player, not projected to be an All-Star. Nobody had him being a star player, the last coupe of years he overachieved.Time to worry about Ramirez? He has been awful dating back to the end of August last year.
I wrote this a week ago and I'm doubling down on this. Jose Ramirez is not going to be a good hitter again. He won't ever come close to the MVP level seasons he had. The last two and a half months of last season he didn't good at all, and he's off to an awful start this year. He looks lost at the plate, swinging at junk. Also as I said, he's not some huge big and strong guy where he's always going to be able to smash the ball. He's a 5'9 guy who was only projected to be a utility player, not projected to be an All-Star. Nobody had him being a star player, the last coupe of years he overachieved.
And I don't like that stat about batting average of balls put in play to point out he's been unlucky. That stat assumes every single ball put in play has the same exact odds of being a hit. There is a difference between line drives and being off balance and popping a ball up or rolling over on a ball to hit a weak grounder. Every ball put in play doesn't have the same chance of being a hit so the stat BABIP is flawed.
I wrote this a week ago and I'm doubling down on this. Jose Ramirez is not going to be a good hitter again. He won't ever come close to the MVP level seasons he had. The last two and a half months of last season he didn't good at all, and he's off to an awful start this year. He looks lost at the plate, swinging at junk. Also as I said, he's not some huge big and strong guy where he's always going to be able to smash the ball. He's a 5'9 guy who was only projected to be a utility player, not projected to be an All-Star. Nobody had him being a star player, the last coupe of years he overachieved.
And I don't like that stat about batting average of balls put in play to point out he's been unlucky. That stat assumes every single ball put in play has the same exact odds of being a hit. There is a difference between line drives and being off balance and popping a ball up or rolling over on a ball to hit a weak grounder. Every ball put in play doesn't have the same chance of being a hit so the stat BABIP is flawed.