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The Capricious Non partisan Government Arbitrary Action thread.

Do Not Sell My Personal Information
Trump to China: "Hold my beer"

 
AZ_ said:
Trump to China: "Hold my beer"

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Heh -- that's actually a pretty good tweet. I think you characterized it pretty well.

Not related, except that I imagine the homeowner from this story asking someone to "hold my beer" before dishing out this bit of whoopass:

Burglar ends up flat on his back in yard after brawl with NC homeowner, police say

bracken



Read more here: http://www.charlotteobserver.com/news/local/article157092549.html#storylink=cpy
 
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Maximus said:
Ossoff was a 70% favorite to win...what happened to the polls? $25m of Hollywood cash burned...
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Was he a 70% favorite to win a moral victory?
 
Where was he a 70 percent favorite?

The AJC had it 49-49 in their final poll.
 
AZ_ said:
Where was he a 70 percent favorite?

The AJC had it 49-49 in their final poll.
Click to expand...

Incidentally, the last few times I've tried to go to Real Clear Politics to check polls, my computer tells me their security certificate is bad. I read up on it a bit, and it seems they've got a lot of pop-up scams. Weird.

Anyway, though you're right about the final AJC poll, it is...odd that these races all seem to follow the same pattern -- the polls favor the Democrat for quite awhile (the AJC poll from less than two weeks ago had Ossoff up by 7), only to see them close right before the election. And almost always with that final close in the direction of the Republican. Why would that be?

In any case, she won by 6%. That outperformed the final poll, which also seems to have been a commonality in a lot of these off elections.
 
The Human Q-Tip said:
Incidentally, the last few times I've tried to go to Real Clear Politics to check polls, my computer tells me their security certificate is bad. I read up on it a bit, and it seems they've got a lot of pop-up scams. Weird.

Anyway, though you're right about the final AJC poll, it is...odd that these races all seem to follow the same pattern -- the polls favor the Democrat for quite awhile (the AJC poll from less than two weeks ago had Ossoff up by 7), only to see them close right before the election. And almost always with that final close in the direction of the Republican. Why would that be?

In any case, she won by 6%. That outperformed the final poll, which also seems to have been a commonality in a lot of these off elections.
Click to expand...

 
AZ_ said:
Where was he a 70 percent favorite?

The AJC had it 49-49 in their final poll.
Click to expand...

Some "expert" pollster getting interviewed on CNN said he thought he had a 70% chance of winning yesterday morning. The poll wasnt 70-30.
 
Maximus said:
Some "expert" pollster getting interviewed on CNN said he thought he had a 70% chance of winning yesterday morning. The poll wasnt 70-30.
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Oh, and here I was convinced it was something substantial and meaningful.

My mistake.
 
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