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2023-24 Season | Game #46 | Cavs @ Grizzlies | Feb. 1, 2023 | 8:00 p.m.

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Wham with the Right Hand

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Having finished January with an 11-2 record for the month, the Cavs head south for a back-to-back in Memphis against the Grizzlies, who are 18-29 on the season. The Grizzlies have an extremely odd home/away split as they are 13-13 away and 5-16 at home. The Grizzlies have had two days off while the Cavs played last night in Cleveland and had to fly in late.

The Grizzlies have been decimated by injuries, starting with All-Star point guard Ja Morant being out for the year. Morant was averaging 25 ppg before going down after just nine games. Their second leading scorer is Desmond Bane at 24.4 points - he is also out. Marcus Smart, averaging 14.5 ppg is out and Luke Kennard, averaging 10.6 ppg, is “doubtful”. So four of their top five scorers will not be suiting up tonight unless Kennard can go. Also out is Zaire Williams, who averages 7.7 ppg in 19 minutes and Derrick Rose at 8.4 points in 18 minutes.

Starting on the front line are Jaren Jackson Jr, 6’10”, 242, who is their best man standing at 21.9 points and 5.6 rebounds. Jackson was named the NBA's Defensive Player of the Year last season. However, his field goal and 3-point percentages are down from last year and his blocks per game have dropped from 3.0 to 1.6, possibly because opponents are more aware of his abilities. Santi Aldama, 7’0”, averages 10.6 points and 5.6 rebounds in his third season. Their other forward is Xavier Gilman, 6’7”, who in his fourth season is averaging 6.2 points in 18 minutes for his career and 6.0 this season.

The starting backcourt is 6’1” PG Scottie Pippin Jr, a second year undrafted free agent who has played in 10 career games, and forward David Roddy, a 6’4”, 255 pound second year pro with a career average of 7.2 points in 20 minutes per game. I don’t know if I’ve seen a 6’4” guy who weighs over 250 before.

In their last game they used an 8-man rotation. The bench consisted of 6’9” Matthew Hurt, who played in his first NBA game on Tuesday, 6’9” GG Jackson, who averages 8.3 ppg, and 5’8” Jacob Gilyard, a 25-year-old rookie averaging 3.7 points.

I’m not going to list the season stats for the Grizzlies since a lot of the players who generated those stats are out. I’m not even sure whether the Grizzlies will be suiting up more than eight players. Last game they only had eight players available, including one guy playing in his first NBA game, another in his 10th, another in his 15th, and another in his 31st.

The Cavs could not be catching them at a better time in terms of injuries. Normally the second night of a back-to-back on the road is likely to be a loss, but the Grizzlies are down to a skeleton crew at the moment and the Cavs are finally at full strength other than Thompson and Ty Jerome. That being said, the Grizzlies have some guys who are getting their first real NBA opportunity and will no doubt be busting a gut to try and show they belong up here and deserve more time.

The Cavs have an immense advantage in talent but the Grizzlies had two days off and some of them will be playing for their NBA futures. They know this is their chance to make a lot of money if they can show they can play at this level. Never underestimate a guy who’s been sitting the bench or playing the G League for a while and is finally getting on an NBA court.
 
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This one will be interesting because of the road back-to-back and us still figuring out our rotations.

Just like last night I think the Cavs will still pull this one out, but it'll be closer than anyone will like.
 
Dunno why I had this in my calendar as a 10PM start. I thought that was odd.
 
Cleveland is getting healthy, but the Grizzlies (18-29, 13th in West) have been very scrappy. - The Athletic

Detroit was pretty scrappy last night and I expect no less from the Grizzlies tonight. Combine that with the fact that the Cavs played yesterday and flew in from Cleveland while the Grizzlies had two days off and I'm sure the Grizzlies will be the spunkier team. Plus they have some guys who are trying to prove they deserve more minutes.

That being said, I think the Grizzlies will only have eight players in uniform and four of them have played in 31 NBA games or less. They are 5-16 at home and that was before they were swamped with injuries. I expect them to put up a good fight in the first half but the Cavs should pull away in the second. One thing about the Cavs; they're not dependent on two or three star players like Milwaukee and Philly. The Cavs come at you in waves. They're a young, deep team where nobody is forced to play a lot of minutes so they should be less vulnerable to back-to-backs than a team like Milwaukee with three starters over 30 who play a lot of minutes.

Last night Mitchell played 35 minutes but nobody else was over 30.
 
Outside of Jaren Jackson this might be the worse starting 5 I have ever seen a team put out there tonight, not counting the last week of a team resting there players…..Doesn’t mean they won’t be scrappy in keep it close, but Dam…….
 
Hard to believe how many injuries Memphis has had this year.

Steven Adams and Ja Morant - out for the season

Desmond Bane and Marcus Smart - out until at least Feb. 23

They're down four starters. Plus five more bench guys who are out now but should return soon.
 
Woah! I knew about Ja and Steven Adams being out--but not the rest of their injured. Ouch.

Still, we should handle them. We can't give up 50%+ shooting from 3 again. Stop that, and we won't need 45 points from Donovan. Also, I'd like more than 0 3s from Strus, Niang, and Wade. Ideally, I want 9. I'll settle for 6. I expect 3-4 from Merrill too.

Give me 30 from Mitchell, 18 from Darius, 10 from Mobley, 20 from Allen, 12 from LeVert and we should be good. That adds to 117 and I haven't added Okoro, for another 10. So we'll get 127 and they'll get 112.

90% chance of victory.
 
That's because it originally was a 10PM start, and a national TV exclusive game on TNT. They flexed us out for Utah and the 76ers instead a couple weeks ago, and when they did that they changed the time to 8pm.

Sucks for TNT because Joel Embiid is out, Maxey probably won’t play and the Sixers are playing the last game of a five game road trip where they are 0-4. Understandable they flexed out Memphis with all their injuries.
 
Sucks for TNT because Joel Embiid is out, Maxey probably won’t play and the Sixers are playing the last game of a five game road trip where they are 0-4. Understandable they flexed out Memphis with all their injuries.
I'm bawling my eyes out thinking about the Sixers right now.

Speaking of injuries, Julius Randle is out for at least three weeks so I want to see some teams beating the Knicks. How about starting tonight with Indiana? The Knicks have won eight in a row.

I want us in second place by next weekend.
 
You just can't lose to a team that is missing almost their entire roster. The talent they are without is a contending team: Ja, Adams, Bane, Clark, Kennard, Smart, Rose, Williams, LaRavia. A couple more are questionable. Even on the second of a back to back, this has to be a beatdown.
 
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That's because it originally was a 10PM start, and a national TV exclusive game on TNT. They flexed us out for Utah and the 76ers instead a couple weeks ago, and when they did that they changed the time to 8pm.
For a top 8 team in the league, we very rarely have any games on national TV. Really a shame because we are playing basketball that is really aesthetically pleasing to fans that just like the game.

I'm a little bit worried about this one. We obviously have the big talent advantage, but a back to back against a roster trying to earn their spot in the NBA and a lot of money is always scary.
 

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