The problem with Wade going full time vs Randle is Wade will get in foul trouble. Whether he actually fouls or not is secondary. It’s a “status” thing and the refs will respect Mobley/Allen on Randle far more than they will Wade. Wade guarding him 15 minutes is fine, but I’m afraid there is no way the refs allow Wade to play effective defense against Randle for 30 minutes.
I think we are going to see:
- The Cavs Core 4 get 36-40 mins each
- Okoro mirroring Brunson to start the game and any time Allen sits, probably 20-24 minutes considering his knee.
- LeVert is going to get 30 minutes in his usual role, maybe more if he's hitting his shots
- Some combination of Ricky Rubio and/or Danny Green for up to 24 minutes
- Wade gets 18 minutes or less.
If Wade is having trouble on D, getting bullied on the boards, or is bricking open looks, JBB might bring Cedi out of carbonite.
I don't think we see Neto unless Rubio has problems with his matchups.
Knicks' RJ Barrett on the Cavaliers: “They can’t guard everything. We’ll figure it out when the time comes.”
theathletic.com
The Knicks were not supposed to score as often as they did in 2022-23, especially considering the presumed lack of 3-point shooting on the roster. But Thibodeau has called for lots of 3s, dunks, layups and free throws. After all these decades without a notable point guard, they finally have a darn good one in Brunson, who dropped 48 points against the Cavaliers just a couple of weeks ago — though that performance came with both Allen and Isaac Okoro, who Cleveland will likely stick to the point guard for the next four-to-seven games, out with injuries.
Randle just pulled off a renaissance season because he’s in the best shape of his life. He has more lift around the hoop. He could blow by wings and slam on bigs.
The Knicks will need some version of that player against Cleveland — and not just because of Randle’s talent. It’s because attacking the basket isn’t just what the Knicks do; it’s who they are.
Twenty-seven percent of their shots during the regular season came at the rim, third amongst the 12 surefire playoff teams. They were second among those teams in free-throw attempt per field-goal attempt. Translation: They get to the line a lot. And they don’t just gun for layups on their quest to the basket, either.
Most of the Knicks’ 3s come after the ball hits the paint. In particular, Brunson dribbles within a few arms’ lengths of the basket and then starts swiveling like his GPS won’t stop reloading. He is Nestor Cortes with a 24-second pitch clock.
The Cavs will attempt to get the basketball out of his hands. Brunson will seek mismatches to attack. Fighting to the hoop isn’t just a one-on-one battle. It’s also about a screener impeding whoever is guarding Brunson, so Brunson can steam forward or he can force a switch and poke at a lesser defender. It’s about Barrett or Hart noticing that their defenders are sagging off them and cutting to an open space. It’s about Randle (as long as he plays) muscling his way wherever he wants, even if an all-world stalwart, like Mobley, is buried in his chest.
If Randle doesn’t play, the Knicks could try to speed up the pace. Either of the potential power forward options (Toppin, who has started in Randle’s place for the past five games, or Hart, who has gotten minutes at the backup four) streak in transition. Maybe the Knicks create an extra fast-break bucket or three that way. If they move quickly, they’re more likely to force mismatches, too. When Cleveland’s defense sets up, any offense is in trouble.