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23-24 Trade Deadline: What Can Koby Cook Up? (Kitchen Is Closed)

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Smooth

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With the trade deadline under a week away, this would be a good place to discuss what options are out there for the Cavs, what the Cavs should do and how it ultimately unfolds..

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The NBA Trade Deadline is under one week away – Thursday, February 8. As the buzzer rings at 3 p.m. (ET), rosters will be final sans buyout players becoming available. The Cavs are approximately $3 million under the luxury tax threshold, and still have ~$3 million available in their non-taxpayer mid-level exception and ~$2 million from their bi-annual exception.

Depending on how the deadline shakes out, the Cavs could be active on the buyout market – like targeting Danny Green last year. Although, the mid-level exception may be used on a CRAIG! Porter Jr multi-year deal which has been a staple during Cavs President of Basketball Operations Koby Altman’s tenure -- converting young, undrafted players to late season cost effective multi-year deals.

It's important to note: Cleveland.com’s Chris Fedor said earlier in the year the Cavs have no plans to go into the luxury tax this season. With new luxury tax rules, the Cavs are likely avoiding starting the luxury tax clock when increased salaries over a period of time comes with increased penalties. Basically if you aren't ready to go all-in and the price it comes with, beware.

Buyout market aside, the Cavs have an interesting deadline ahead. While there is not an explicit need the question does remain whether the Cavs are good enough as currently constructed. And with injuries, the answer is they may not know.

One thing that can be ruled out is any movement of core pieces – Darius Garland, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen. Koby has reportedly told teams to lose my number on Mitchell, and taken Allen off the table.

We’ve detailed the evaluation Koby must face as it pertains to roster construction. The Cavs are heavy in backcourt assets, and could use a reconfiguration to reallocate assets to assist the frontcourt while opening up minutes for other viable options in the backcourt.

All that to say, any tinkering figures to be around the core and not with the core. Even within that, there’s a chance Koby decides a healthy Garland and Mobley are his trade deadline additions.

The difficulty in building out any Cavs trade is their limited ability to expend first round compensation (only their 2024 and 2030 1st round pick swaps are available) and not having any trade filler salary. To Koby’s credit, every Cavs contract has some positive value attached to it making it harder to match larger salaries due to the multiplication of value within some of those packages.

But they do have flexibility in their contracts – some expirings, lack of long-term and bad contracts. They have multiple 2nd round picks (8 through 2029), and they have some intriguing draft rights (Khalifa Diop, Luke Travers).

In any deal, the Cavs would be looking for quality not quantity. Depending on how you look at, they have 12 rostered players who could be in an NBA rotation today. If any trade is made, it’s to consolidate those assets to address a need or swap out talent for talent at another position of need.

Recently, Yahoo.com’s Jake Fischer said to “keep an eye on Cleveland sniffing around for reserve guards, sources said.”

The Cavs could also try to secure some big man insurance given Mobley’s long-term absence and Tristan Thompson’s 25 game suspension to ensure a repeat of last year’s New York series, exposing their lack of depth behind Allen and Mobley, doesn’t comes back to bite them.

Or, Koby could look to address the one of the true weaknesses on this team: Another two-way forward who can guard the East’s elite forward options. Come playoff time, the Cavs will have to deal with the likes of Giannis Antetokounmpo, Khris Middleton, Jaylen Brown, Jayson Tatum, OG Anunoboy, Pascal Siakam, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, etc. Is Dean Wade, Max Strus, Isaac Okoro and maybe Mobley enough to stop them?

Understanding all of this, we take a look at two options to address each deadline possibility.


Point Guard​

If the Cavs bring in another guard with Ty Jerome sidelined with no publicly available time table and CRAIG! Porter Jr still on a two-way deal (remember, two-way players are not playoff eligible), then it’s likely a veteran is needed who can steer the ship if called upon and have enough defensive chops to be paired with Garland or Mitchell.

TJ McConnell
Why it makes sense:
McConnell is buried behind so many guards on the Indiana team it’s even hard for Rick Carlisle to get him minutes. With another year remaining on his deal and the Pacers looking to be flexible this summer, they likely would be open to get his deal off the books. For the Cavs, McConnell represents the type of player fans and coaches love: scrappy, hard-nosed, unselfish and a strong defender. McConnell has consistently been tops at his position in assist rate, and defends his position well. The problem is he can’t shoot well enough to stay on the floor for long stretches (career 33% from 3 on 0.7 attempts in 21.7 minutes per game).
What it’ll take: If the Cavs could combine all of their backend roster fodder (James, Thompson, and Jerome), they’d have enough to make salaries match and stay under the luxury tax.

Aaron Holiday
Why it makes sense:
Houston’s early season run was cute but not sustainable. They’re 9-15 in their last 24 games and continue sinking fast. With the playoffs likely just outside their reach, Holiday is the type of veteran moved for some assets to allow the younger kids to play. For the Cavs, Holiday is exactly the type of low-risk move they’d be interested in. Holiday has been a staple in Ime Udoka’s rotation due to his dependability and consistency as a backup guard. He’s a strong defender (67th percentile Crafted Defensive Plus Minus), shoots the ball well (40% back-to-back years from 3P) and can do enough to run a second team offense.
What it’ll take: Throw-in a salary match (Jerome or James) and a 2nd round pick or two (either Golden State’s protected 2024 or Milwaukee’s 2025) and you likely strike a deal.


Forward​

If the recent stretch of play proved anything, it’s you can never have enough two-way players around the core. The balance of Strus, Wade and Okoro in the starting lineup provided strong point of attack defense and floor spacing allowing Allen and Mitchell to succeed. If the Cavs want to have a sustained playoff run, it may require acquiring a reliable, consistent two-way threat who is not going to be ignored offensively and will be able to withstand the East’s toughest scoring challenges.

Brooklyn wings
Why it makes sense:
The Cavs have long been linked to the both Finney-Smith and O’Neale with O’Neale’s interest extending back to last deadline when the Cavs were unable to strike a deal due to Brooklyn’s insistence on including Okoro. The fit is clear: both Finney-Smith and O’Neale are versatile, effective defenders (DFS is 59th percentile in Crafted Defensive Plus minus; O’Neale is 74th percentile) and can space the floor at a high volume (DFS three-point rate is 67.6% at a 38.3% clip; O’Neale three-point rate is 81.2% at a 36.2% clip). Either contract have an upside to them: DFS is locked up below the non-taxpayer mid-level exception for another year with a player option while O’Neale is an expiring that can be extended this off-season.
What it’ll cost: The Nets have told teams it’ll cost two first-round picks for DFS while they’re seeking to recoup their first round pick cost for O’Neale. Considering the Nets have no incentive to tank with their first-round picks being in the hands of other teams, they’ll want current value for either player. DFS would likely cost the Cavs LeVert in any deal while O’Neale could cost Wade or Okoro.

Patrick Williams
Why it makes sense:
In an alternative reality, the Cavs could have ended up with Williams over Okoro in the 2020 NBA Draft but here we are years later with both set to hit free agency this summer. The Bulls and Williams were unable to reach an extension before the deadline to start the season, and it sounds like that may not be coming with what Williams wanted. With the Bulls stuck in the mud, they may look to move on from Williams to bring back assets while they can. For the Cavs, Williams is the type of long, two-way forward they’ve been craving. He’s hovered around 40% from three on 3.4 3PA the last two years while being in the 52nd percentile in Crafted Defensive Plus Minus. Williams has underperformed a bit in Chicago however last time the Cavs picked up an underperforming, former high draft pick forward from Chicago it worked out quite well.
What it’ll cost: Again because of Williams salary ($9.8M), it makes it hard to build out a trade without giving up a key rotation player or stacking several depth players together outweighing the value the Cavs could be sending out. A Wade or Okoro led package would likely be the beginning with some draft assets attached to it.


Bigs​

With Tristan Thompson suspended for 25 games and Damian James being on the outskirts of the rotation, the Cavs may choose to seek some veteran insurance for their playoff run. Last year’s series against the Knicks exposed their lack of viable big men behind Allen and Mobley. They’ll need an alternative option in case of foul trouble or early, or just to give either a breather and soak up some fouls. This role doesn’t require much, and the Cavs should be able to weather the storm for Thompson’s return before the playoffs.

Mike Muscala
Why it makes sense:
Anybody on the Pistons needs rescued. Muscala ended up in Detroit after a series of trades, and at this point needs his knight in shining armor to relieve him of his veteran duties with the Pistons. For a rebuilding team, any assets for veteran expiring contracts is a move they’ll make. Muscala isn’t too far off from having a mini career renaissance with Oklahoma City, finding his way as a glue guy, spacing center who makes others better while on the court. Muscala was moved for a pair of 2nd round picks at last year’s trade deadline seeking to bring Boston some veteran depth, and could be on the move again in a similar manner.
What it’ll take: A salary match (James) and a future 2nd round pick.

Xavier Tillman
Why it makes sense:
Just like every other Grizzlies player this year, Tillman suffered an injury that setback what looked to be a promising year after breaking out last year in his third NBA year. So far, Tillman has been unable to replicate his defensive presence shown in years past and has been wholly inefficient offensively (44% TS, 22.6% 3P%, 40.8 FG%, 41.9 FT%) dragging down his offensive metrics. Tillman is set to hit unrestricted free agency this offseason and with the money owed in Memphis next year, he may be free for greener pastures. For the Cavs, this may be a buy-low opportunity to take a shot on a depressed asset who is only 25-years old and shown signs of being a valuable role player. If he can recapture some semblance of previous play, he would be a valuable resource to have behind Mobley and Allen.
What it’ll take: ESPN’s Bobby Marks recently recommended a Tillman to Cavs trade which saw Jones, and two 2nd round picks (their own in 2025 and Denver’s in 2027) go to Memphis.



Last season, Koby Altman did not make an in-season trade for the first time since 2017. Will he double down on this roster and see if they can overcome last year’s playoff failure? Or will he make a move to improve this roster with the eyes set on bigger and better things this year?

Only time well tell, and it will tell soon.
 
I love McConnell, just don’t want to give up too much for a guy like that.
We need more toughness and scrapiness on this team. He should be cheap.

If you have a chance to move Levert for a ball handler who can create his own shot and toughen us up, find him as well.
 
Isiah Mobley for Sengun.... i kid.... i kid....
 
I think TJ McConnell has joined Amare Stoudemire and Mike Bibby as former trade deadline All Stars. He seemed like a good fit year after year until Father Time said he wasn't. I'd rather give Ty Jerome his shot than give up anything for McConnell.

*Raises hand* I have something to say about Royce O'Neale. *Two fingers in the air* Two future second rounders would be a great payoff for the Nets after nobody dares touch O'Neale with a first. This reminds me of when the Cavs asked for a first rounder for Kyle Korver... That was just setting a bidding price. *Deep shrug* I just don't know if the Cavs want to outbid other contenders with a bigger need.

All that said, thanks for the breakdown, @Smooth. I don't believe the Cavaliers have to make a move, but if a team makes a great offer for one of the non-core four, I believe Altman will maximize the value coming back.
 
I think TJ McConnell has joined Amare Stoudemire and Mike Bibby as former trade deadline All Stars. He seemed like a good fit year after year until Father Time said he wasn't. I'd rather give Ty Jerome his shot than give up anything for McConnell.

*Raises hand* I have something to say about Royce O'Neale. *Two fingers in the air* Two future second rounders would be a great payoff for the Nets after nobody dares touch O'Neale with a first. This reminds me of when the Cavs asked for a first rounder for Kyle Korver... That was just setting a bidding price. *Deep shrug* I just don't know if the Cavs want to outbid other contenders with a bigger need.

All that said, thanks for the breakdown, @Smooth. I don't believe the Cavaliers have to make a move, but if a team makes a great offer for one of the non-core four, I believe Altman will maximize the value coming back.
WE already have someone in Dean Wade that is better than DFS or O'Neale based on advanced metrics right now. Those guys do not interest me for the price.
 
I think TJ McConnell has joined Amare Stoudemire and Mike Bibby as former trade deadline All Stars. He seemed like a good fit year after year until Father Time said he wasn't. I'd rather give Ty Jerome his shot than give up anything for McConnell.

*Raises hand* I have something to say about Royce O'Neale. *Two fingers in the air* Two future second rounders would be a great payoff for the Nets after nobody dares touch O'Neale with a first. This reminds me of when the Cavs asked for a first rounder for Kyle Korver... That was just setting a bidding price. *Deep shrug* I just don't know if the Cavs want to outbid other contenders with a bigger need.

All that said, thanks for the breakdown, @Smooth. I don't believe the Cavaliers have to make a move, but if a team makes a great offer for one of the non-core four, I believe Altman will maximize the value coming back.
I'm good with O'Neal for 2 seconds. Unfortunately, that does not work. 2/3 trade machines I have tried show that the only path to O'Neal under the CBA would require Wade or Okoro. Both of whom I believe to be more valuable to this team than Royce. Yes, there is one trade machine on a site that says it works, but I don't think it uses the current CBA rules. If it CAN be done for Jerome, Jones and 2nds, cool. Anything beyond that is an insane overpay.
 
Great stuff @Smooth

Like some of the ideas, don’t like some others, but LOVE the effort and comprehensive look at deadline week from the Cavs perspective
Agreed. Great writeup.

The only one of those that interests me is at those costs is Mike Muscala. Not my favorite option, but fills a hole in the roster.
 
WE already have someone in Dean Wade that is better than DFS or O'Neale based on advanced metrics right now. Those guys do not interest me for the price.
I'm good with O'Neal for 2 seconds. Unfortunately, that does not work. 2/3 trade machines I have tried show that the only path to O'Neal under the CBA would require Wade or Okoro. Both of whom I believe to be more valuable to this team than Royce. Yes, there is one trade machine on a site that says it works, but I don't think it uses the current CBA rules. If it CAN be done for Jerome, Jones and 2nds, cool. Anything beyond that is an insane overpay.

*Shakes head and index finger*

Windhorst taught you how to discuss Royce O'Neale trades. Do better.
 
*Shakes head and index finger*

Windhorst taught you how to discuss Royce O'Neale trades. Do better.

If we weren’t willing to give up Ice for RON last year why in the Alabama cousin f*ck would we do that this year? Ice is better than last year and RON is not.

And after seeing Dean crush it at the 5 last night - I’m not trading 6’9” Wade for 6’4” RON either. Dean is just too versatile on defense and he’s taking on Niang’s “shoot first and ask questions later” attitude.

RON = Remain on Nets.

Beard & Thighs for the wins.
 
If we weren’t willing to give up Ice for RON last year why in the Alabama cousin f*ck would we do that this year? Ice is better than last year and RON is not.

And after seeing Dean crush it at the 5 last night - I’m not trading 6’9” Wade for 6’4” RON either. Dean is just too versatile on defense and he’s taking on Niang’s “shoot first and ask questions later” attitude.

RON = Remain on Nets.

Beard & Thighs for the wins.

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I am not suggesting the Cavs trade for Royce. I am suggesting another team more desperate will outbid the Cavs. Reason being: The Cavs have lower salary quality players, aka, good contracts. It's no secret the Nets catch and shoot players are depressed assets because they don't have any drive and dish players to set them up. Some team will meet the Nets needs for picks with worse players, because they also see O'Neale as a buy low.
 
I love the idea of getting Tillie from Memphis. He is a really good backup option at big and would round out our big man lineup well
 
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