shoes22
Hall-of-Famer
- Joined
- Dec 4, 2012
- Messages
- 28,325
- Reaction score
- 38,688
- Points
- 148
Finally trending in the right direction! Pre-game 4 odds:
Golden State Warriors (1) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (1)
Warriors in 4: 0.0% (-23.04%)
Warriors in 5: 27.2% (-9.24%)
Warriors in 6: 21.44% (+5.5%)
Warriors in 7: 27.09% (+11.92%)
Cavs in 7: 12.75% (+7.14%)
Cavs in 6: 11.52% (+7.72%)
Cavs in 5: 0.0%
Cavs in 4: 0.0%
Game 4 Odds:
Warriors win 40%/Cavs Win 60%
Odds Cavs force a Game 6: 72.8% (+32.28%)
Odds series goes 7 games: 39.84% (+19.06%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 3.13 (+0.75)
Overall Odds:
Warriors win series: 75.73% likely (-14.86%)
Cavs win series: 24.27% likely (+14.86%)
The Cavs have increased their odds from around 1 in 10 to around 1 in 4.
Game 4 is absolutely a must-win for the Cavs though, otherwise my model is very confident this series is ending in 5. (Hence why the most likely outcome remains unchanged from Warriors in 5.)
Golden State Warriors (1) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (1)
Warriors in 5: 27.2% (-9.24%)
Warriors in 6: 21.44% (+5.5%)
Warriors in 7: 27.09% (+11.92%)
Cavs in 7: 12.75% (+7.14%)
Cavs in 6: 11.52% (+7.72%)
Cavs in 4: 0.0%
Game 4 Odds:
Warriors win 40%/Cavs Win 60%
Odds Cavs force a Game 6: 72.8% (+32.28%)
Odds series goes 7 games: 39.84% (+19.06%)
Series competitiveness rating (scale of 1-4): 3.13 (+0.75)
Overall Odds:
Warriors win series: 75.73% likely (-14.86%)
Cavs win series: 24.27% likely (+14.86%)
The Cavs have increased their odds from around 1 in 10 to around 1 in 4.
Game 4 is absolutely a must-win for the Cavs though, otherwise my model is very confident this series is ending in 5. (Hence why the most likely outcome remains unchanged from Warriors in 5.)
Last edited: