Official NBA Draft Lottery Thread

[Karma]

The 2010 NBA Draft Lottery will be held Tuesday night. In preparation for the event, here's an abbreviated description of how things work.

Fourteen ping-pong balls are placed into a chamber and mixed around. To determine the draft order, four balls are drawn from the chamber. With those 14 balls, that allows for a possible 1001 four-number combinations. The 14 lottery teams, depending on their record, have a certain number of combinations assigned to their squad. The worse the regular-season record, the more combinations the team has. In total, 1000 combinations are assigned to the 14 lottery teams. If the 1001st combination is drawn, the balls are reinserted and four new ones are drawn. Combinations are drawn for the first, second, and third picks of the draft. Picks 4 through 14 are assigned to the remaining teams in reverse order of their records. For the 2010 lottery, here's the breakdown for how the combinations will be distributed:

1. New Jersey Nets (12-70): 250 combinations, 25% chance of getting the No. 1 pick
2. Minnesota Timberwolves (15-67): 199 combinations, 19.9% chance
3. Sacramento Kings (25-57): 156 combinations, 15.6% chance
4. Golden State Warriors (26-56)*: 104 combinations, 10.4% chance
5. Washington Wizards (26-56)*: 103 combinations, 10.3% chance
6. Philadelphia 76ers (27-55)*: 53 combinations, 5.3% chance
7. Detroit Pistons (27-55)*: 53 combinations, 5.3% chance
8. Los Angeles Clippers (29-53)*: 23 combinations, 2.3% chance
9. Utah Jazz (from New York Knicks) (29-53)*: 22 combinations, 2.2% chance
10. Indiana Pacers (32-50): 11 combinations, 1.1% chance
11. New Orleans Hornets (37-45): 8 combinations, 0.8% chance
12. Memphis Grizzlies (40-42)*: 7 combinations, 0.7% chance
13. Toronto Raptors (40-42)*: 6 combinations, 0.6% chance
14. Houston Rockets (42-40): 5 combinations, 0.5% chance

*In the event of a tie, the two involved teams split evenly the sum of the combinations between their two spots.

The lottery is always a fun event. Because it establishes the order for the forthcoming draft, one could argue that the lottery is more suspenseful than the NBA Draft itself. In years with consensus No. 1 picks, much anticipation often accompanies the announcement of the draft order. Furthermore, it serves as an exhibition for some teams' key figures. Each franchise sends a representative to the podium in Secaucus, N.J., to "accept" his team's position in the draft. In some cases, organizations think a certain figure will serve as a lucky charm in the lottery. In other cases, it is an opportunity for team officials who typically work behind the scenes to garner some exposure. For example, the Nets will send incoming owner Mikhail Prokhorov in his first public appearance since being approved, to represent the team Tuesday night.

With all that said, once the lottery passes, the teams start planning for the draft in earnest with the newfound knowledge of where they will be picking. Different teams have their different strategies in the draft. Many teams, in fact, state that their philosophy is to draft the best talent left on the board regardless of need or whether the player is a good fit. For the sake of the following list, however, assume that teams will be drafting to fill a need on the roster rather than to select the best overall prospect.

The lists are a ranking of the top five choices that each team would select based on gaps in their rosters. If a team's first listed option is not John Wall or Evan Turner, it does not necessarily mean that the team will choose to select someone else if rewarded with the first or second overall pick. Instead, it reflects a possible interest for the team to deal that pick and trade down to acquire an asset and then draft the player that fills a bigger need. The list will go from the best lottery chances to the worst.

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[Adam]

is there any team on that list who wouldn't want john wall no 1?

i'm thinking GS, utah, New orleans, rockets, and minnesota would all either trade the number one or their current starting point guard if they won the lottery.

the wolves could package rubio and something to get some nice pieces.

 

[The Common Man]

[deleted]

 

[Randolphkeys]

Go Warriors! This is the Bay Area's NBA Finals: all the injuries, all the disharmony in the locker room, This is where it all pays off for the bottom-feeders.

I'm hoping the Nets get a huge shaft.

Gimmie #1. G.S., #2 Sacramento, #3 Minnesota

The West Coast teams need some talent to challenge the Lakers.

 

[Silky Smooth]

I hope Utah gets the pick because wasnt it New Yorks pick to begin with? That would tear the hearts of New Yorkers in half.

 

[Adam]

Go Warriors! This is the Bay Area's NBA Finals: all the injuries, all the disharmony in the locker room, This is where it all pays off for the bottom-feeders.

I'm hoping the Nets get a huge shaft.

Gimmie #1. G.S., #2 Sacramento, #3 Minnesota

The West Coast teams need some talent to challenge the Lakers.

portland has been hinding all the talent, on their injured list

 

[TheNewEra]

If Minnesota gets Evan Turner then they have nice little team with

pg-johnny flynn
sg- corey brewer
sf-evan turner
pf-kevin love
C- Al Jefferson

 

[foucault87]

I would be happy if Utah gets the one or the two. A Deron+Wall/Turner backcourt would be insane.

 

[onyoursix7]

I'm kinda hoping that Turner goes to NO. The chances of that happening are about zero, but seeing him work with Paul would be nothing short of magical.

 

[Snowblind]

So who's the number 3 guy this year in the draft? I know the one and two are John Wall and Even Turner. Every year there's always that 3rd guy though.

 

[TheNewEra]

So who's the number 3 guy this year in the draft? I know the one and two are John Wall and Even Turner. Every year there's always that 3rd guy though.

Right now it's Wesley Johnson, Derrick Favors or Demarcus Cousins.

 

[AMC]

I am hoping and thinking it will be this order:

1 - Philadelphia
2 - New Jersey
3 - Minnesota
4 - Sacramento
5 - Golden State

Or

1 - New Jersey
2 - Utah
3 - Minnesota
4 - Sacramento
5 - Golden State

 

[Gimme Some Mo]

Anyone but New Jersey please.

Part of me really believes if they get John Wall, then LeBron is going there. And I really couldn't blame him either.

Wall
Williams/CDR/Lee
LeBron
Yi
Lopez

Trade Devin Harris for another nice piece. They still also have more cap space even if LeBron signs there.

I think basketball wise, NJ makes the most sense for LBJ if they land Wall.

 

[cdt]

1. Warriors
2. Wolves
3. Kings
4. Nets [suck it bitches]
5. Jazz [lol@nyc]

 

[TheNewEra]

Anyone but New Jersey please.

Part of me really believes if they get John Wall, then LeBron is going there. And I really couldn't blame him either.

Wall
Williams/CDR/Lee
LeBron
Yi
Lopez

Trade Devin Harris for another nice piece. They still also have more cap space even if LeBron signs there.

I think basketball wise, NJ makes the most sense for LBJ if they land Wall.

I dont think it's smart for LeBron to go there because that lineup is not a championship lineup with a rookie pg. It would take them a couple years to get some more pieces so they can contend. And LeBron wants to win right now.