This is great stuff. Is this guy a good follow for NFL in game statistical decision making?
I was thinking, if we had scored a TD a little earlier to go up 7 with less than 2 minutes left do we auto kick the extra point or go for 2? Kicking the extra point puts us up 8 and forces not only a touchdown but a successful 2 pt conversion. If you go for 2 and succeed it's a 2 score game, effectively ending the game there. If you go for 2 and fail, you are still up 7 and require a TD + successful PAT. 0% chance Denver would have gone for 2 to win the game. They'd kick the PAT and go to OT.
Love to see the math on that