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RonG said:
I posted some tools early in the thread that help you even the odds some by betting on the math and percentages of covers on spreads. It doesn't make it a sure bet but when you bet that a home team that has covered the spread 70% of the time it helps even the odds in your favor.
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Cavs at home against the spread have been very good this year
 
RonG said:
agreed but i didnt even trust the -7 and passed on betting last night. You can't win them all, and the cavs road trip cost me a grip!
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Yeah. DK had an MLK special--30% boost for 3 live in-game NBA bets, and FD had a $50 no sweat bet. Took Cavs ATS (-7.5) before tip on FD. Took 2x Moneyline and 1x ATS (-4.5) during the first quarter. Made a nice 200 yesterday on that game.
 
The Mike Evans overthrow- last leg on a +390 parlay. Fun times.

Ended up breaking even for football this weekend.
 
DJTJ said:
The Mike Evans overthrow- last leg on a +390 parlay. Fun times.

Ended up breaking even for football this weekend.
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Haha I had it as the last leg on a +700 parlay. 10 bucks in, 70 payout if Evans scored a TD.

But it would've cost me the over/under bet I had. 50 in, 100 payout.

So I was indifferent.

That parlay I had for the $10 free bet was:
  1. Evans TD
  2. DAL Over 21.5
  3. TB over 18.5
  4. Godwin over 54.5 yards
  5. Evans over 49.5 yards
Kinda surprised I got +700 odds on all of that.

Their algos for the parlays aren't perfected yet. I think it was FanDuel? I had one moonshot off a $5 free bet that was built around Jefferson scoring 2+ TD's. Adding Cousins > 1.5 passing TD's significantly increased the odds. You'd expect that to not move the needle. So, still some kinks to iron out.
 
Out of the Rafters at the Q said:
Haha I had it as the last leg on a +700 parlay. 10 bucks in, 70 payout if Evans scored a TD.

But it would've cost me the over/under bet I had. 50 in, 100 payout.

So I was indifferent.

That parlay I had for the $10 free bet was:
  1. Evans TD
  2. DAL Over 21.5
  3. TB over 18.5
  4. Godwin over 54.5 yards
  5. Evans over 49.5 yards
Kinda surprised I got +700 odds on all of that.

Their algos for the parlays aren't perfected yet. I think it was FanDuel? I had one moonshot off a $5 free bet that was built around Jefferson scoring 2+ TD's. Adding Cousins > 1.5 passing TD's significantly increased the odds. You'd expect that to not move the needle. So, still some kinks to iron out.
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That’s the key- always adding O/U that would directly contribute.

But yeah. Evans 50+, Brady O TD1.5, Evans TD. Even my wife, who hates it, felt bad for me. It wasn’t a need bet (I’ve been playing with the same bankroll for over 5 months) but it would have made March Madness way more fun.
 
Not sure if it was a promo thing, but FD had opening kickoff is a touchback for -160 yesterday. Pretty easy money there if they continue to give those odds.

EDIT: After a little more research, this is decidedly NOT a good bet for the Super Bowl where the ball isn’t broken in before the game and thus rarely gets kicked for a touchback.
 
RonG said:
agreed but i didnt even trust the -7 and passed on betting last night. You can't win them all, and the cavs road trip cost me a grip!
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That website you posted helped me win some money. Took your advice as well to live bet, the Bucks went down so I took the spread for them and they covered.
 
Oh, DraftKings has a promo if you bet ML on either Memphis or Cleveland, and if the team you pick at any time leads by 10+ points, you automatically win. I love the Cavs, but I feel like Memphis is a great pick here. Although, it is only a $16 payout. :chuckle: I guess almost free money is good.
 
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GreatGoo said:
Oh, DraftKings has a promo if you bet ML on either Memphis or Cleveland, and if the team you pick at any time leads by 10+ points, you automatically win. I love the Cavs, but I feel like Memphis is a great pick here. Although, it is only a $16 payout. :chuckle: I guess almost free money is good.
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I feel like putting down $50 hoping to win $16 is rarely a good bet.
 
@GreatGoo hope you didn't bet on Memphis!

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