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I think this is all probably fair analysis.
The Saudis and Chinese should be case studies in how to get Trump to like you. They really laid out the red carpet (China did quite literally).
Still, even if it is not explicitly his grand strategy, I find it really dangerous. I was irritated when Obama eased on America's alliance networks, but Trump is taking it to an extreme, and I do not see this ending well.
They have teams of psychologists working on the approach but it is super simple:
He has NPD. You appeal to his ego. 85% of the decisions he makes in life stem from whether his ego has been stroked or not. People like that are easy to flatter but they make impulsive and generally poor decisions. They're erratic.